This day we have European data on employment, industrial production and GDP growth, as well as inflation rates for some countries such as Spain. The afternoon is very important for the markets with the Fed's manufacturing index, inflation, retail sales, and vehicle sales data, as well as the PCI for the month of April. With less relevance we also have information...
- The market has been trading inside a bullish channel since the beginning of 2024 ; The mid-term trend is then bullish.
- This bullish trend took place as investors' hopes of a quick dovish monetary switch from the FED faded due to US data proving a much more resilient economy than anticipated.
Today's US CPI report is seen as crucial by many.
Indeed, traders...
- The market has been trading below a bearish trendline since July 2023 ; The long-term trend is then bearish.
- Since the beginning of 2024, the market has pulled-back further, trading below an intermediate bearish line (dotted) until reaching a 1-year low around $140.30.
A strong bullish reaction took place above that level, supported by significant volume...
This day we face inflation data in several euro zone countries, including Germany. In the American session, ECB member Isabel Schnabel will issue a statement. The German representative argues that rates should be maintained as they are at least until June, but it remains to be seen whether the presidency will heed the recommendations of the Executive Board. As...
The Asian indices got off to a strong start today. The Hang Seng Index (Ticker AT: HKIND) has broken out of the long-running downtrend channel in the direction of 9-month old price zones. Stocks returned to 15-month highs today as the Fed cut numbers may help or halt the market's evolution. Today we have as we said releases from the Vice Chairman and the President...
Today we face UK economic data, trade balance, GDP growth, and business sentiment. An upward correction to 0% levels is expected versus -0.2% GDP in the previous quarter. In other words, a small economic recovery from last year of -0.2% to 0.3% is the forecast. Already yesterday the Bank of England reported that the interest rate would be maintained at 5.25%....
- The market has been registering lower highs and lows since the beginning of the year ; the mid-term trend is bearish.
Indeed, this situation was fueled by fading dovish hopes about the FED's monetary policy in the US, while the ECB has provided investors with hints that its next easing cycle could take place not later than June.
- However, since the impact over...
- The market has been trading above a bullish trendline since March 2024 ; the mid-term trend is then bullish.
- Lately, the market has registered a strong bullish acceleration that drove prices to the 171.591 level.
However, as the BOJ moved towards the end of the negative rates era, investors have quickly regained appetite for the Japanese Yen, which resulted...
Today morning, the Ascension Day of Christ, the IBEX35 has experienced strong movements due to the news of the hostile takeover bid for Sabadell by BBVA and the possibility of a refusal by the government in view of the destruction of competitiveness in the banking market. Spanish government bonds, as well as Irish bonds, have been drawn. At noon De Guindos and...
In order to assess whether it is a good time to increase exposure to riskier assets such as equities, institutional traders often use correlation tools and inter-market analysis.
Depending on the macro environment (uncertainties, market drivers, monetary narratives), traders periodically assess their exposure between offensive and defensive values (Risk-on vs...
Today we face data from the Japanese market Foreign Bond Investments, also the Bond auction, in the European morning the UK mortgages will publish their rates also the 30-year Bond auctions will take place, and also 3 and 6 months European Bills will be auctioned. In the afternoon in the US market, the May MBA Purchasing Managers' Index will be published, as well...
- The market has been registering higher highs and lows since mid-February ; The mid-term trend is bullish
- Over the past couple of weeks, and with the establishment of a new all-time high, prices have naturally consolidated inside a bearish wedge.
This consolidation led the market back below the $2,300 zone where buyers seemed to be powerful and numerous enough...
- The Market registers higher highs and lows since October 2022 ; The long-term trend is therefore bullish.
- Since 2024, and thanks to the AI frenzy, the market has accelerated from $480 to a new all-time high just below the $1000 zone.
That sharp bullish impulsion that doubled the company's valuation and drove prices to uncharted territory has led investors to...
The week has started with the British index closed for the Bank Holiday at the beginning of May. Europe faces Spanish unemployment rates and PMI data from several countries including the Eurozone. These are expected to be slightly positive and the market has started off higher all morning on all European indices with slightly more positive forecasts than in their...
The European trading day has started in a session of mixed sentiment on Friday. Investors are still digesting Apple's US corporate results and awaiting reports on unemployment ratios in Europe, with Spain and Italy being the highlights. In the afternoon, U.S. unemployment rates, non-farm payrolls and manufacturing production data (PMI) are expected to be released....
- The market has been trading below a bearish trendline in the first part of April, correcting the rally started at the beginning of 2024. The short-term trend was then bearish.
- More recently, and since the impact over 17,480pts (50% Fibonacci), the German index has invalidated its short-term bearish trend.
The market has registered a sharp rebound leading...
This day we face news on retail sales and inflation rates in the land of milka chocolate and kinder eggs. Manufacturing, unemployment rate and production index data in some euro zone countries will also be important. In the afternoon, the US Dollar cross will be affected by the release of the US unemployment rate against the Swiss Franc. The Euro currency is...
- The market still trades above a bullish trend line since mid-February 2024, strongly helped by a decreasing Pound Sterling. The mid-term trend is bullish for UK equities.
- Since the 3rd impact on its bullish trendline at the end of last week, the market has rallied to an hall-time high above 8,000pts.
Since the impact on the 8,200pts mark, we can notice a...
