By Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst
The European Central Bank has stopped playing the guessing game and has officially revealed its “best-kept secret” : the neutral interest rate for the euro zone stands at around 2%, with a range of between 1.75% and 2.25%. This figure, which has been the subject of speculation for years, now marks the way forward for...
By Ion Jauregui - Analyst ActivTrades
President Trump's recent announcement of a 25% tariff on steel and aluminum imports, along with reciprocal tariff measures, has set off alarm bells in Europe. As the United States reaffirms its protectionist policy, it is quite possible that the measure could trigger a series of negative effects on the Spanish economy. The...
Today marks the release of the U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP), a key labor market indicator that tends to generate high volatility in financial markets. This report, issued monthly by the Department of Labor, reflects the number of jobs created in the non-farm sector during the previous month and is a key determinant of the Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy.
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The price of gold continues its upward trend and is approaching 2,900 dollars per ounce, registering an appreciation of close to 10% so far in 2025. Despite an apparent moderation in the tariff war being waged by the United States against Mexico and Canada, the precious metal continues to consolidate its position as a safe-haven asset in the face of inflationary...
By Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst
The S&P 500 continues to be the focus of investors' attention, with a number of factors that could impact its performance today. From macroeconomic data releases to corporate earnings season, the market is cautiously watching every move.
Recent economic data: The market has already digested the release of the U.S....
by Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst
Toughening immigration policies and their effect on the U.S. economy.
Since coming to power, Donald Trump has implemented policies that have negatively affected Latin American immigrants in the United States. The tightening of immigration laws, the elimination of protection programs and mass deportations have led to an exodus...
By Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst
The cryptocurrency market experienced a turbulent weekend with a significant drop in the price of Bitcoin (BTC/USD) initiated on Thursday, January 30. The world's leading cryptocurrency retreated sharply, losing -14.29% in four trading days, with a particularly aggressive plunge on Sunday, when it lost -10.05% in a single...
By Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst
Spot gold hit a new all-time high on Friday at the European open, surpassing the peak recorded in October 2024. The price of the precious metal climbed to USD 2,800.78 per ounce in this first hour, driven by growing expectations that the Federal Reserve will initiate interest rate cuts in 2024 and continued support from...
By Ion Jauregui - Analyst ActivTrades
CaixaBank closed 2024 with the best result in its history, reaching a net profit of €5,787 million, 20% higher than in 2023. This growth was driven by intense commercial activity and the effect of high interest rates. The result exceeded analysts' forecasts, consolidating the bank's leadership in the sector.
Fundamental...
By Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst
At the end of January 2025, Brent and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil prices have shown significant movements in the global energy market. Brent is trading around $77.47 per barrel, while WTI stands at $73.81.
Economic Analysis
Several economic factors are influencing the current dynamics of oil prices:
1....
By Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst
DeepSeek the privately held company owned by co-founder Liang Wenfeng's quant investment fund High-Flyer has emerged as one of the most influential companies in the field of artificial intelligence (AI), revolutionizing financial and technology markets. Today we take a look at how its innovation has impacted key sectors and...
By Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst
The revival of the debate in the EU over the possible confiscation of frozen Russian assets, valued at €210 billion, raises concerns about its implications for the euro and thus the EUR/USD. The move, promoted by the likes of Valdis Dombrovskis and Kaja Kallas, seeks to pressure Russia over its war in Ukraine, but could have...
By Ion Jauregui - Analyst ActivTrades
Brent prices have remained virtually unchanged in recent sessions, correcting -4.57% since the 15th and closing with a slight change of -0.05% this Thursday. The oil market continues to navigate uncertain waters, affected by geopolitical factors, political commentary and mixed signals on global demand.
Key factors...
By Ion Jauregui – ActivTrades Analyst
Below is an analysis of the commodities that performed best in 2024 and those expected to lead in 2025.
Top Performers in 2024
1. Gold: Supported by global economic uncertainty, gold demonstrated strong performance as a safe-haven asset, with prices averaging $2,000 per ounce.
2. Copper: Economic recovery and the boom...
By Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst
Yesterday Wall Street closed in green, with the Dow Jones Industrials up 1.24% to 44,025 units, while the S&P 500 advanced 0.88% to 6,049 points and the Nasdaq rose 0.64% to close at 19,756 points. This optimism in the markets was mainly driven by expectations about President Donald Trump's future economic measures. One of...
This week, two events dominate global attention: the inauguration of Donald Trump as president of the United States and the start of the World Economic Forum in Davos. Both promise to set the political and economic agenda for the coming months, with significant implications for financial markets and international relations. Both scenarios promise to generate...
Johnson & Johnson (NYSE: JNJ), one of the global giants in the pharmaceutical, medical device and consumer sectors, is in the spotlight as it prepares to release its fourth-quarter 2024 results. Analysts and the market expect the results to reflect a combination of macroeconomic challenges and strategic opportunities that will define its performance in 2025.
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Banco Santander (BME: SAN) could be considering a major strategic shift: its exit from the UK market after two decades of operations, according to recent speculation. Since the acquisition of Abbey National in 2004, the UK has been a key market for the Spanish bank. However, operational challenges, low returns and legal problems could be motivating this possible...
