After the latest OPEC+ meeting, the price of WTI crude oil dropped more than 2% to $75 per barrel, ending a two-day win streak.
During the meeting, OPEC+ agreed to cut oil production early next year by almost 2 million barrels per day (bpd). This decision was spurred by worries about having too much oil in the market coinciding with the end of Saudi Arabia's...
Will Berkshire Hathaway investors panic when Warren Buffet passes away?
Few companies are as closely tied to their leaders as Berkshire is to Warren Buffett and was to Charlie Munger.
Munger's recent passing, who served as Berkshire's vice chairman since 1978, signifies the end of an era for the company. While Munger's role was significant, Buffett's...
Morgan Stanely has released what they call their top trade for 2024, and it is the exact opposite of Bank of America’s call.
Analysts at Morgan Stanley think selling EUR/USD around the current level of 1.10 is the trade to make next year, with a target for the pair reaching parity by the end of the first quarter of 2024. This outlook relies on sustained economic...
Gold reclaimed the US$2,000 threshold yesterday, marking its return to this level for the first time since May, after the US dollar weakened against most major currencies on Monday. The US dollar is now on track for its largest monthly decline in a year, largely because the market is anticipating that the Federal Reserve might initiate interest rate cuts in the...
The AUDUSD and NZDUSD led the rally against the US dollar yesterday and are doing the same again today.
The surprising low inflation number from the US is what caused the rally yesterday. But today we have a new event that could be driving sentiment in these pairs. This event is still underway, so it still to play out completely, and its consequences still to be...
The UK’s inflation rate due this week (early early Wednesday morning), and there is a huge projected drop in the reading from last month, from 6.7% to 4.8%. This huge drop leaves a lot of room for disappointment, and higher CPI reading could exert upside pressure on the GBPJPY, which is already at a multi-month high. It is for this reason I bring up the...
We are about 8 hours away from the latest Reserve Bank of Australia interest rate decision.
That decision is due on Tuesday at 2:30 pm (local Aussie time), a couple of hours before the country's biggest horse race, the Melbourne Cup ($8 million in prize money) is set to take place.
But perhaps the more exciting match ups will be occurring in the forex market....
Has the market adopted the term “hawkish pause” to bolster USD bids? It could be possible that, in an attempt to drag out USD strength just a little bit longer (euro has weakened –4.20% in past 6 months), the term Hawkish Pause has been thrown around with not-enough criticism.
Not many people have confidence in the US Fed to really make the hard decisions...
Investor flight to safety might provide a favorable outlook for the Swiss franc this week.
Swiss franc against the USD and GBP might be the most interesting considering the Fed and the Bank of England (BoE) hold their policy meetings this week, where they are both expected to keep rates exactly where they are. These pauses by the Fed and BoE might contrast too...
There are two weeks left until the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) decides whether to enact another rate hike (on November 7). And, yesterday’s Australia Consumer Price Index (CPI) might have made the trading in the lead up to this decision more interesting.
The CPI figures show a quarterly inflation increase of 1.2% and an annual increase of 5.4%, raising...
Will bearish bets on the Canadian dollar grow in the lead up to Wednesday? It is widely expected that the Canadian central bank will leave interest rates on hold during its meeting that concludes on this day (Although, it may be a hawkish hold as the Governor Tiff Macklem will mention that another hike is still on the table for the bank).
Perhaps piling on the...
Where does gold go if the Gaza war escalates and are downside targets for gold pointless to think about right now? Perhaps it is prudent to think about some short-term retracements, but it does appear that the war will escalate or at least tensions remain heightened for quite some time, which is bullish for gold.
The latest event that could escalate the Gaza war...
Fake news sent Bitcoin up about 10% on Monday, surging from $27,900 to over $30,000 after Crypto news site Cointelegraph posted on X that the Securities and Exchange Commission had approved BlackRock’s spot bitcoin ETF application.
In response to the rumor, BlackRock had to clarify that no decision had been made regarding their ETF application. Even though the...
Fancy selling into uncertainty? This could be a scenario for the NZD/USD in the lead up to the election in New Zealand which is way too close to call for either major political party right now (Labour vs National). Voting has been open all week and closes October 14, with the winner called the same day (but after the close of this trading week).
Polls have the...
WTI and Brent crude futures both jumped more than 4% to above $86 and $88 per barrel, respectively, on Monday, after a surprise attack by Hamas on Israel over the weekend.
More than 900 Israelis have lost their lives, with 130 more held hostage, and nearly 700 Palestinians have been killed in Israel’s retaliation. A truce is unlikely in the short term....
Did the BoJ secretly intervene in USD/JPY on Tuesday? And is there more to come? For now, Bank of Japan officials have avoided explicitly stating whether they had stepped into the market to strengthen the yen. After the USD/JPY crossed 150.000 (its weakest levels in a year), a huge candle appeared on Tuesday touching as low as 147.300 before closing at 149.100. ...
Gold has now hit a seven-month low at $1,830 just as the US government avoids a shutdown.
Over the weekend, the U.S. Congress passed a stopgap funding bill. This means that important government information won't be delayed, and it won't make it harder for the Federal Reserve to decide what they might do with interest rates.
Traders are starting to believe...
WTI crude futures surged by 3.5% on Wednesday, briefly reaching above $94, marking their highest settlement price of 2023. This impressive rally followed the release of EIA data indicating a larger-than-expected decrease in US crude inventories, showing a 2.17 million barrel drop in the past week.
In parallel, Brent crude futures saw a substantial increase of...
