After being criticized for being slow to recognize inflation, the Fed has embarked on its most aggressive series of rate hikes since the 1980s. From near-zero in March, the Fed has pushed its benchmark rate to a target of at least 3%. At the same time, the plan to unwind its $8.8 trillion balance sheet in a process called “quantitative tightening,” or QT —...
Last Thursday was an incredibly volatile trading session for the USD/JPY. This volatility was largely caused by the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) intervention in the currency markets to defend its depreciating currency, the Japanese Yen. Last week’s move was the first time since 1998 that the BoJ had intervened. There are some parallels between 1998’s intervention and...
In just two trading days, the probability that the sterling will fall to parity against the US dollar increased to 60% on Sept. 26 from 32% on Sept. 23 after the UK government's announcement of new tax cuts elevated concerns for the country's economy. Bloomberg estimates that the GBP/USD will have equal value before the end of 2022, based on sterling-dollar...
Today’s FOMC meeting policy was as expected, with a 75-basis-points rate hike to 3.25%. In reaction, the USD/JPY moved towards the upside breaking a daily consolidation level. The JPY, however, may find some support after the Bank of Japan (BoJ) carried out a rate check in preparation for a possible intervention for the currency. Japan is now prepared at any...
For this trade analysis, the S&P500 has seen a recent fall around 13 September. How does the FOMC announcement impact the markets given a 75 or 100 basis point rate hike? The Federal Reserve is the central banking system of the United States and is responsible for buying and selling US securities in the financial markets and setting interest rates and reserve...
Back in February, when Russia launched its invasion of Ukraine, a victory for Kyiv would have been almost impossible to imagine. It's the classic David and Goliath. Recent developments on the battlefront, however, are starting to paint a different picture, showing the possibility of Ukraine ending the conflict with a win. On paper, the war is just between...
The US headline CPI data released last week surprised the market with a smaller drop than expected. As such, a higher chance is being given to a 75-basis-points rate hike in the upcoming September FOMC meeting. The US stock market reacted with a major sell-off last week, signalling that the summer rally has overstayed its welcome. The Dow Jones plunged by 1,300...
One of the largest moves caused by the unexpected US inflation data has been in gold. Gold has finally broken through the monumentally important support level of $1,680 and has pushed all the way down to ~$1,660/oz. Gold achieved this huge break to the downside in one four-hour period. Before this, gold was already feeling the downside pressure, experiencing...
Pushpay (-10.6%), the church management software company plunged to $1.10 after rumors surfaced that its buyout would not be progressing. Pushpay would not confirm or deny the rumor, although noted that they were aware of the market speculation and were abiding by its NZX continuous disclosure obligation. A cooperative bid from BGH Capital and Sixth Street...
US markets (S&P 500 Index +0.3%) ended Wednesday in the green after a choppy session, perhaps exhausting the extreme sell-off sentiment from the previous day. The unexpected result from the US inflation report released on Tuesday had prompted speculation that stocks could start to head back to their June lows in reaction to a more aggressive Federal...
BlackBull Markets does technical analysis on how to determine support and resistance levels using the S&P500 especially over the most recent market fall of 5% which is the largest fall in 20-years.
The death of Queen Elizabeth II on Sept. 8 beaconed a new era for the UK, coming on the heels of Elizabeth Truss taking office as prime minister and heralding the proclamation of King Charles as the new monarch. These changes could be overwhelming for a country that has known only one monarch for 70 years. Even more daunting is that these changes happened amid...
US dollar bulls have seemingly halted their accension as they wait for the U.S. inflation data that is due this Tuesday. The market is predicting that August's headline CPI may edge lower by 0.1%, further strengthening the case that US inflation has peaked. Even so, it is said that the US dollar has priced in an 85% chance of a 75-basis-points rate hike from...
It was announced today that the Queen has passed away today after a 70 year reign. We look at whether this has affected the pound. For GBP/USD the market has not been affected as significantly as traders may have thought, considering the overall negative market sentiment. The pound dollar continues to consolidate within the range indicated with the daily RSI...
For the last couple of months, the EUR has maintained a weak position against many of its trading partners. This includes the Canadian dollar. The Canadian dollar has benefitted immensely from the high cost of crude, in addition to the Bank of Canada (BoC) moving much faster than the European Central Bank (ECB) to start hiking interest rates in the face of...
For the last couple of months, the EUR has maintained a weak position against many of its trading partners. This includes the Canadian dollar. The Canadian dollar has benefitted immensely from the high cost of crude, in addition to the Bank of Canada (BoC) moving much faster than the European Central Bank (ECB) to start hiking interest rates in the face of...
Shares of Reliance Power (NSE: RPOWER) have been volatile after the Indian electric company secured a long-term debt agreement for up to 12 billion rupees ($150.4 million) from private equity firm Varde Partners, a US based investment firm focused on distressed assets in India. RPOWER announced the deal on Sept. 5, sending its shares surging and at close of...
Is the Nas100 losing steam on its downward momentum? The RSI has cooled down to previously seen levels, however the value is a lot higher. This price action could signal a reversal point for tech stocks.