The Gold-Silver Ratio (XAU/XAG) measures how many ounces of silver are needed to purchase one ounce of gold, providing a clear example of the relative performance of each metal.
Bank of America (BofA) has argued there could be an opportunity to short gold against silver at its current ratio of 83.50, targeting a move down to 78.50 or 75.00, with an upside stop...
Democrat Tim Walz and Republican JD Vance are set to clash next week in the sole U.S. vice presidential debate, an opportunity for both candidates to bolster their running mates’ platforms ahead of the crucial November 5 election.
For the exact date and time of major economic events, import the BlackBull Markets Economic Calendar to receive alerts directly in...
The New Zealand dollar (NZD/USD) has slipped below its 25-day exponential moving average (EMA) and could potentially test the 50-day EMA next. But, can sellers maintain the momentum and push further into bearish territory?
Kiwibank is betting on more downside due to faster and deeper rate cuts from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ). However, their initial...
Gold is set to face two major US economic data points this week, following last week’s surprise 50-basis-point interest rate cut from the Federal Reserve: U.S. GDP figures on Thursday and Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) on Friday
Danielle DiMartino Booth of Quill Intelligence argues the Fed’s larger-than-expected cut signals concerns over potential...
AUD/USD continues to hit new yearly highs as risk sentiment improves following the FOMC’s 50-basis-point rate cut last week and today’s Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) meeting, where no rate change is expected.
However, a dovish tilt from the RBA meeting notes could shift the pair’s momentum, with the 200-Day Moving Average acting as a key level to watch. Also,...
With six weeks until Election Day, Vice President Kamala Harris leads former President Donald Trump by 5 points, 49% to 44%, according to a new NBC poll. Harris' favorability has surged 16 points since July, the largest increase for any candidate since George W. Bush after 9/11.
Harris is set to unveil new economic proposals on Thursday, expanding her vision for...
RBA Decision: Can Bulls Break 0.6900?
The U.S. Federal Reserve's decision to slash interest rates by half a percentage point this week has intensified scrutiny on the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), which will hold its policy meeting next week.
Making a RBA’s interest rate cut less likely in the short term: Australia's labor market delivered...
Both the Bank of England (BoE) and Bank of Japan (BoJ) are not expected to cut interest rates at their respective meetings today and tomorrow.
The US Federal Reserve just chose to cut its own rate by 50 basis points. So, how might the BoE and BoJ decisions be affected?
Bank of America projects the BoE will leave its Bank Rate at 5.0%, with the pound...
Gold surged to an all-time high before pulling back, as investors await the Federal Reserve’s first move to ease monetary policy in over four years.
Traders are pricing in a 67% chance of a 50-basis-point rate cut, according to CME’s FedWatch Tool. Yet, despite growing expectations of an aggressive start to the policy easing, gold has slipped 0.5%, paring last...
Investors are hopeful that risk assets like Bitcoin could see strong gains if the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates by 50 basis points instead of the previously anticipated 25 basis points.
However, Bank of America (BofA) urges caution. They recommend not overreacting to any initial market reaction after the Federal Reserve's September meeting. According to...
The Federal Reserve’s upcoming rate decision is teetering on a knife’s edge, with the odds of a significant cut climbing. According to the CME’s FedWatch tool, the chances of a 25 or 50-basis-point reduction are now evenly split at 50-50.
The decision from the cental bank comes in on Wednesday.
Former New York Fed President Bill Dudley, speaking last week,...
The only event that matters next week is the US Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, which could result in its first rate cut in over four years
PIMCO analysts, in a fresh note, outlined what could be in store for the U.S. dollar as the Fed embarks on its rate-cutting cycle. Historically, the dollar has shown a tendency to weaken, at least briefly, following...
The Japanese yen has tested prices below 141, an eight-month low for the pair. But eventually pulled back above 142. From a technical perspective, this long wick might look to some traders to be the start of a small reversal before its eventual sojourn lower.
Rom a fundamental perspective, US Consumer Price Index (CPI) came in a few hours ago lower than...
Investor focus is about to turn to the televised presidential debate between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris. With the race currently so tight, even a small post-debate shift in voter sentiment could impact key markets.
Budget forecasters are grappling with constant changes, and Tuesday's Harris-Trump debate could introduce new ideas.
What we currently know:...
Bank of America (BofA) is in line with market expectations, predicting that the European Central Bank (ECB) will announce a 25-basis point rate cut in its decision this week.
BofA also foresees a modest downside risk for the EUR, driven by a potential dovish shift in the ECB's forward guidance.
In the EUR/USD, recent price action saw lower lows and lower highs...
This week’s inflation data could be decisive for traders as markets weigh whether the Fed will cut rates by 25 or 50 basis points. Last week’s jobs report did not sway the market from its current consensus.
The US economy added 142,000 jobs in August 2024, falling short of the expected 160,000, based on the latest NFP data. According to the CME FedWatch Tool,...
Futures markets are pricing in a US rate cut for September, with a 62% chance of a 25-basis point cut and a 38% chance of 50-basis points. The Fed’s dovish shift has helped the euro surge to its highest level in more than a year.
Attention now shifts to the ECB’s 12 September rate decision. After cutting rates in June and pausing in July, analysts expect the ECB...
XAU/USD: Citi Sees 50bp Rate Cut After NFP
Citi anticipates the upcoming Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report will show 125,000 new jobs, leading to a 50-basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve.
Citi suggested in a note to Clients on Tuesday that if payrolls come in between 125,000 - 175,000, a 50-basis point rate cut is likely from the Fed.
The 4H chart for...
