As the dollar continues, it's a downward spiral, risk-on currencies have seen a rise in value. I have talked about how the market is slowly pricing in the long-term effects of the Coronavirus on macro-environments, and it seems like the Currency markets are gradually displaying this. The New Zealand Dollar is up 9.06% against the USD. However, at the same time,...
Coronavirus cases have passed 18 million across the globe, with deaths approaching 700k. Markets are slowly pricing in how the Coronavirus is affecting countries' respective markets. The US Dollar is down 10% from its March highs, and the ASX is slowly edging down, booking losses three weeks in a row. This is your week ahead. Tuesday, 4th August – Australian...
GBP/USD broke 1.30 today, a critical resistance that signals a strong bullish sentiment on the Pound as the dollar weakened on the Fed, sending full message support. Jerome Powell stated that they would keep all support lines open, including bond-buying, low-interest rates, and central bank dollar swaps. Jerome Powell emphasized, “ is not thinking about thinking...
Fed’s Chairman Jerome Powell has a clear message: They will not step off the gas when it regards stimulus. He stated in the previous Fed meeting, “We are not thinking about thinking about raising rates.” Today? “We are not thinking about thinking about THINKING ABOUT raising rates.” The Federal Reserve left rates unchanged, fluctuating from 0 to 0.25%. Fed will...
What's next for the Argentinian Peso? Over the past year, the Argentinian Peso has last 20.3% against the US dollar. A combination of spiraling government debt, political unrest, and the Coronavirus have seen Argentina fall further into recession. The deprecation of the Argentinian Peso came when the government defaulted on their debt for the 9th time –...
The Euro has been on a tear recently, up 8.55% against the US Dollar over the past three months as investors become increasingly more confident in the continent. The European Union recently has had many tailwinds as of late: Containment of Covid-19, general alignment in how to combat the Coronavirus, and their 75 Billion euro recovery package lead investors to...
Gold reaches an all-time high amidst Geopolitical tensions and the Coronavirus continuing to fuel demand into safe-haven assets. Gold spot reached a high of $1944.52 during the Asia session, smashing the record print of $1923 by $21. Geopolitical tensions and the Coronavirus are not the only factors driving the price higher for Gold. A weaker dollar,...
NASDAQ down 2% on Coronavirus fears Tech and consumer equities lead the charge downwards as fears that the recovery has stalled in the US emerges. The NASDAQ is down 2.33% today, with the SP500 and Dow Jones down 0.66% and 0.7%. Priced-to-perfection tech stocks, even with better than expected earnings was not able to defend the lofty prices from the risk-off rush...
Some quick numbers – Globally, there are over 15 Million Coronavirus cases and 618,000 deaths due to the pandemic. An estimated 47 million people may lose their jobs in the United States alone. Oil dived into negative, an unprecedented move. However, the NASDAQ is having its best year having made a V shape recovery, Elon Musk is the 13th Richest person in the...
Markets have been moving today on the back of positive vaccine news amongst concrete stimulus hopes. Silver rallied to a peak of $21.319 as investors and traders bet that a push to green energy will provide a silver lining to the metal. It is interesting to note that Silver has outperformed its counterpart Gold, with a 70% rise since its March lows. Analysts at...
The Dollar Index at the peak of the Coronavirus lockdown rallied, almost touching 103 – the highest level since 2017. The Dollar index shows the relative strength of the USD to a basket of other currencies. However, a couple of currencies strengthened as everyone was hoarding the USD – The JPY. If the JPY got stronger, why was everyone talking about USD being a...
The markets continue to grapple with the immediate effects of the Coronavirus. The second wave in pockets of the world has forced cities to take active measures to control the virus. Melbourne, Australia has gone into a secondary lockdown while Florida and Los Angeles see cases surge, with the Mayor of Los Angeles stating that the city is “on the brink” and a...
There have been talks for a Trans-Tasman bubble since the Coronavirus lockdowns in March. However, different approaches from New Zealand and Australia have made this reality more a far fetched dream. Trans-Tasman bubble would greatly help both economies Although both countries would benefit from the trans-Tasman bubble, New Zealand would arguably benefit greater...
After a 24% rally in their stock market from the start of July, the Shanghai Composite index saw a sharp reversal down 17% as data shows a patched recovery in China. Bloomberg reporting industrial output was lower by 1.3% while retail sales plummeted 11.4%, showing strong weakness in the consumer, which use to be the backbone of many economies. Michelle Lam,...
EUR/USD locks in a 4th straight day of gains on tailwinds regarding European stimulus and vaccine tailwinds. The EUR/USD sits at around the 1.1428 level, hitting a healthy resistance level as bulls ride risk on optimism. Euro reaping dividends from effective lockdown Many European countries such as Italy, Spain, and Germany have had an effective lockdown,...
NASDAQ has posted weekly gains 11 of the 16 weeks since the lows of March. However, with the recent pullback in the midst of stocks like Tesla returning over 330% since its March lows, many skeptics reference 1999 as a benchmark for NASDAQ’s trajectory. However, are we going to see a repeat of 1999? NASDAQ Then vs NASDAQ Now The NASDAQ in 1999 was filled with...
Gold finally pushes past $1,800 as retail investors plow $40 Billion into gold-backed funds. As Coronavirus cases around this world approach 12 Million, the prized metal has seen a 19% rise year to date as investors continue to crave safe havens. HSBC's James Steel stated that prices" were already rallying well before the emergence of Covid-19", which has given...
United States Non-Farm Payroll posts 4.8 Million jobs in June, beating analysts’ expectations of a 3 million gain. The unemployment rate also fell to 11.1% in June, forecasted at 12.5%. However, permanent job losses spike 2.1 million of the 4.8 million new jobs were created in the leisure and hospitality sector. However, permanent job losses jumped to 588,000 to...