OpenAI has denied rumors claiming it's set to reveal an AI-powered search engine for its flagship chatbot, ChatGPT, on Monday. Although there is speculation that OpenAI is being a bit of a wise guy, and the product it will demo is not a search engine, but what they might dub as the next generation of search engines. It will be interesting to see if this...
We have seen 2 interventions from the BOJ over the past 2 weeks. The first came when the USDJPY hit between 158.000 and 160.000 and the second when it hit almost 158.000. With the BOJ warning that it is ready and willing to step in again, how smart is it to try to catch the ride down if or when the BOJ steps in again? Finance Minister Shunich Suzuki...
The British Pound has seen a partial retreat against the USD ahead of the Bank of England's interest rate announcement. It's widely anticipated that rates will remain steady at 5.25%. Consequently, attention is likely to be directed towards the voting split among the nine-member Monetary Policy Committee and the accompanying commentary, as these factors could...
Countdown to RBA rate decision The nine members of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) are set announce its latest interest rate decision that could significantly impact the Australian dollar. This comes amidst remarks from Warren Hogan, Chief Economic Advisor at Judo Bank, who suggests that the central bank might soon need to raise rates to over 5%, a...
Markets next move awaits Fed speeches this week In April, the US economy saw a modest increase of 175,000 jobs, marking its slowest growth in six months, notably below market projections of 243,000 and a considerable drop from the robust 315,000 jobs added in March. So, now we know the NFP data from last Friday, has this changed investors' outlook for fed...
Coming up: BOE's rate decision week Morgan Stanley has asserted that the Bank of England might still opt for an interest rate cut in the coming week, a stance that stands out amidst dwindling market confidence in such a move. Morgan Stanley’s opinion diverges notably from the consensus, which suggests an initial rate cut by the BOE in September. Backing Morgan...
Fed rules out rate hike. Will the RBA now do the same? The US Federal Reserve maintained its policy rate within the 5.25%-5.50% range as anticipated. Notably, Fed Chair Powell, in the press conference, expressed that while the central bank remains vigilant about inflation risks, a hike is "unlikely" for the next move. Will the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA)...
On Monday, the yen dropped to 160.000 per dollar, marking its lowest level since 1990, before rebounding more than 3% to 154.5 per dollar. This rebound was suspected to be the result of intervention by Japanese authorities. According to reports from Bloomberg, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) likely injected ¥5.5 trillion into the currency markets after discrepancies...
Why has the US dollar sunk in the lead up to the FOMC decision? Bloomberg Economics says “We expect Powell to make a hawkish pivot” regarding the FOMC’s decision this Wednesday. Expectations for rate reductions have been pushed further into 2024. So, why is the US dollar underperforming to start this week? And does this open up an even more attractive entry...
USD/JPY: Breaching 158.500 signals potential run to 160? The JPY weakened below 158.200 against the dollar. It is the first time since May 1990 we have seen this exchange rate for the USD/JPY. The reason is being attributes to the Bank of Japan keeping interest rates unchanged last Friday. With the USD/JPY comfortably above both the 50-day and 200-day EMAs, a...
Fed decision preview: Zero rate cuts and EURUSD parity in 2024? Expectations point to the Federal Open Market Committee maintaining interest rates at their current levels in the upcoming decision slated for May 1. However, fixed income markets suggest the possibility of rate cuts surfacing in either the July or September meetings of the FOMC. Nonetheless,...
Gold managed to recover its losses yesterday (biggest daily slump in almost 2 years) on weak US PMI data. The thought here is that sluggish growth indicators might push the Federal Reserve towards an earlier interest rate cut (although don't hold your breath), potentially increasing the attractiveness of non-yielding assets like gold. The rate of expansion in...
In addition to the eagerly awaited US data slated for release this week, investors will be keeping a close eye on the Bank of Japan's interest rate decision scheduled for Friday. Market expectations lean towards the BOJ maintaining its current rate settings during Friday's announcement. However, analysts and investors will scrutinize the central bank's...
Australia's Inflation Data Revealed Soon Next week, Australia will unveil its latest inflation figures. Import the BlackBull Markets Economic Calendar to iCloud, Google, or Outlook to get alerts direct to your inbox, enabling you to plan your positions in advance and seize trading opportunities. Projections suggest a notable dip in Australia's headline...
Gold hovers around the $2,370, with trading range relatively narrow as investors closely monitor updates on the Iran-Israel conflict. Israel's stance on retaliating against Iran revolves not around whether but when and how to strike back. Bezalel Smotrich, Israel's Finance Minister, advocates for a response that would impose a "disproportionate toll" on Iran,...
Is BOJ's Intervention Hiding Behind Inflation Data? Japanese inflation data is scheduled for release on Thursday, but its impact on the market might be subdued. Investors could prefer to pay attention to next week's quarterly growth and price forecasts from the Bank of Japan, which could be the real market movers. According to sources cited by Reuters, the...
Financial markets are bracing for the uncertainty surrounding Iran's recent strike on Israel and the potential for retaliatory measures. Mohamed A. El-Erian, Chief Economic Adviser at Allianz, remarked that the current situation may lead to elevated gold and oil prices, alongside lower US Treasury yields and stocks compared to what would have been expected...
As we step into the second week of the Q1 earnings season, a roster of major financial players is gearing up to unveil their financial reports. Expect updates from Goldman Sachs, Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, American Express, Blackstone, and Charles Schwab. Additionally, non-financial companies like UnitedHealth, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing,...