Market analysis from FOREX.com
Gold (XAU/USD) has rebounded sharply from its rising trendline support and 50-day SMA (around $3,221), suggesting that the broader bullish trend remains intact despite recent consolidation below the $3,430 resistance. The uptrend from the December 2024 lows continues to hold, anchored by a sequence of higher lows and a clear ascending trendline. The recent dip...
AUD/USD has extended its steady climb and is now challenging the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level (0.6558) from the July–October 2023 decline. The pair is trading within a rising channel structure and has cleared both the 50-day (0.6457) and 200-day (0.6422) SMAs, confirming a medium-term bullish shift. Price action remains constructive, with higher lows and...
EUR/USD has punched through the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level (1.1744) of the July 2023–October 2023 decline, signaling strong bullish continuation. The breakout above the recent swing high near 1.1576 confirms the uptrend is gaining traction, supported by rising moving averages. The 50-day SMA has crossed well above the 200-day SMA, maintaining a strong...
Gold is threatening a break of the yearly uptrend with Friday’s decline clearing the monthly range low. The focus into the start of the month is on technical support at the 5/29 swing low / May low-day close (LDC) 3240/45. A break / close below this threshold would be needed to suggest a more significant correction is underway towards the 38.2% retracement of the...
Sterling marked an outside weekly-reversal through slope resistance last week with the rally trading just below resistance into the close of the month at the 2022 swing high at 1.3749. Look for support at the June high at 1.3633 IF price is heading higher on this stretch with a breach / close higher exposing the 61.8% extension of the 2022 advance at 1.4003....
As the week comes to a close, gold is on track for a decline of more than 1.5% during the latest trading session. So far, the bearish bias remains firmly in place in the movements of the precious metal, as demand for safe-haven assets continues to fade, mainly due to the ceasefire agreement in the Middle East conflict, which has helped restore market confidence....
It's been a strong first-half of the year for EUR/USD. As we came into 2025 it seemed a story of doom and gloom for the Euro, and calls for parity were practically everywhere. But the pair found support in January, held that support in February - and then broke out in a big way in March. As we wind down Q2 that breakout remains in-play and EUR/USD is pushing...
The June range is preserved heading into the close of the month with a massive outside-weekly reversal taking Aussie back into key resistance on Friday. Note that momentum is approaching the 60-level for the first time this year and a break higher alongside a breach above 6550 could fuel a substantial rally here- watch the weekly close. Initial support rests...
Breaking its February peak, the S&P 500 has joined the Nasdaq 100 in hitting a new record high this week. The latest gains came on the back of a sharp de-escalation in the Middle East and mounting pressure on the Fed to cut rates. They question is whether it will kick on from here or we go back lower given that trade uncertainty is still unresolved. Indeed,...
Downside risks flagged in a separate trade idea earlier this week finally materialised for USD/CAD, resulting in the initial target being achieved. With the price now trading marginally below those levels and momentum indicators still bearish, another short setup has presented itself. If USD/CAD continues to hold beneath 1.3650, shorts could be initiated below...
Over the last four trading sessions, the GBP/JPY pair has appreciated by nearly 1%, favoring the British pound against the yen. This move has been driven mainly by the strength of the British currency, which for now has allowed a consistent bullish bias to take hold in the short term. At the moment, the pound has remained strong in part due to the neutral policy...
As USD has broken down against most major currencies, USD/JPY continues to hold on to higher-lows as taken from a trendline connecting April and early-June swing lows. The intra-day reversal on Monday was stunning, with price rejected at 148.00 and going all the way down to 145.00 for a mild bounce on Tuesday morning. But sellers reacted to that, as well,...
Sterling held slope resistance for more than three-weeks with a defense of support this week attempting to mark an outside-weekly reversal candle. The advance is testing resistance today at the 2022 swing high near 1.3749 and the focus is on the weekly close with respect to this pivot zone. Initial weekly support now rests with the June opening-range highs near...
Finally joining silver and platinum, copper has broken out above key $5.00 level. With prices making higher highs and higher lows ever since bottoming in April, dip-buyers will be keen to step in on any short-term weakness we may see moving forward. For as long as support now holds at $5.00, the bulls will be happy. The line in the sand is now at $4.79, marking...
As EUR/USD breaks further above the upper boundary of a 17-year descending channel, U.S. dollar dominance over the pair appears to be fading, leaving room for long-term upside potential. The pair has now reached levels last seen in September 2021 near 1.1750. A decisive close above this level could extend gains toward the 1.20 mark, aligned with the 2021...
NZD/JPY hasn’t closed above the 200-day moving average since July 2024, racking up more than ten failed bullish breaks in that time—seven of them in the past month alone. If today’s probe finds more traction, it could be the catalyst to bring bulls off the sidelines, especially on a close above 88.00 where wedge and horizontal resistance intersect. If that plays...
Sitting in a rising wedge with bearish divergence after running into resistance at 43100, the US30 contract finds itself at an interesting juncture on the charts. If it can’t stage a definitive break above these levels, a short setup could be on the cards. If the contract cannot break and hold above 43100, traders could look to initiate short positions targeting...
The Fibonacci retracement drawn from the 2021-2022 move in EUR/USD has continued to produce inflections in the pair. It caught the high in 2023 at the 61.8% retracement of 1.1275. And then last year, it set the low in April that led into a vigorous bounce into the end of Q3. Along the way, the 50% marker of that major move was a sticking point producing multiple...