Market analysis from FOREX.com
Apple stock is down more than 4% in the final session of the week, following the company’s earnings release yesterday. Apple reported earnings per share of $1.57, beating expectations of $1.43, while total revenue reached $94.04 billion, surpassing the $89.53 billion forecasted by the market. However, despite the strong results, the stock is once again facing a...
USD/MXN appears to be bouncing back ahead of the August 2024 low (18.4291) as it extends the advance from the July low (18.5116), with the exchange rate trading above the 50-Day SMA (18.8993) for the first time since April. USD/MXN trades to a fresh weekly high (18.9810) following the failed attempt to push below the 18.5090 (23.6% Fibonacci retracement) to...
GBP/JPY clears the July low (195.37) as it tumbles to a fresh weekly low (195.34), and a close below the 195.70 (61.8% Fibonacci extension) to 196.60 (23.6% Fibonacci extension) region may push the exchange rate toward the June low (192.73). Failure to hold above the 192.40 (50% Fibonacci extension) to 193.50 (38.2% Fibonacci extension) zone may lead to a test of...
NZD/USD halts the decline from earlier this week to hold above the May low (0.5847), with a move/close above the 0.5920 (61.8% Fibonacci extension) to 0.5930 (78.6% Fibonacci extension) region bringing the 0.6040 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement) to 0.6070 (61.8% Fibonacci extension) zone on the radar. Next area of interest comes in around the July high (0.6120), but...
It is difficult not to link the bad US data to the impact of tariffs. Indeed, it certainly looks that way, especially given that the slowdown in jobs started in early Q2 when reciprocal tariffs were announced. Companies expecting margins to be squeezed by higher duties probably thought twice about hiring workers in order to keep costs down. So, the US labour...
Yesterday’s Fed-induced sell-off broke through the monthly opening-range lows / 52-week moving average with the bears now poised to mark a sixth-consecutive daily decline. It's worth noting that weekly momentum peaked at 60 on the April advance with RSI now poised to close back below 50. The observation suggests the broader downtrend remains intact and a pivot /...
The recent rally in oil appears to have stalled as it struggles to extend the bullish price series from earlier this week, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) pulling back ahead of overbought territory. Lack of momentum to hold above the $67.60 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement) to $69.10 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement) zone may push the price of oil toward $65.30...
USD/JPY has had a big week already and the pair has shown a decisive breakout through a massive spot of resistance on the chart. Coming into the week the 148.00 zone had been problematic for bulls in the pair since early-Q2 trade. But with the combined force of FOMC and the Bank of Japan, bulls have finally been able to prod a breakout and leave that zone...
Markets have moved quickly this week and it's been a very bearish outlay for EUR/USD since last Thursday's ECB rate decision. The pair set a lower-high around that announcement and then the day after saw bears make another push, with a key hold at a Fibonacci level plotted at 1.1748. I've been highlighting that level since before the Q3 open and so far, that's the...
After a decisive sell-off ran for most of the first-half of the year, USD bulls have stepped up in July and DXY is currently up 3.3% for the month. That's the strongest monthly outing in the currency since April of 2022- and that's just after the Fed had started their rate hike campaign that year. It led into a massive rally that ran through September as the USD...
The US dollar index has risen to rest a key resistance area around the 100.00 level. Previously a key support and resistance zone, what happens here could determine the near-term technical direction for the US dollar. Key support below this zone is at 98.95, marking a prior resistance. Given the short-term bullish price structure, I would expect this level to...
The July opening range broke to the topside on the heels of yesterday’s FOMC rate decision and takes USD/CHF back above the 25% parallel- a weekly close back above the April lows at 8040 tomorrow would suggest a more significant low is in place / a larger reversal is underway. Look for initial support near 8103 today for guidance. Initial topside resistance...
Although news points to a crude oil price surge, technical analysis indicates price cap risks remain within the borders of a 3-year descending channel. Should a clear hold emerge above the $70 barrier, the bullish rebound in price action from the $64.40 zone, in line with the weekly RSI’s rebound off the neutral 50 zone, may extend toward the channel’s upper...
USD/CAD was hit hard during the Q2 sell-off in the USD. And with the almost decade long range still in-play for the pair, with the reversal around 1.4500 in February, that makes sense. The problem quickly became sentiment as sellers jumped on the move so aggressively, and since mid-June bears have had trouble breaking down to any fresh lows. We can even see an...
It is worth keeping an eye on the energy markets, given the recent bounce from a key support area around $65.00. With WTI moving back above the 200-day average at $68.00, this is an additional bullish sign from a technical standpoint. This level is now the first support to watch, followed by $67.00 and then that $65.00 key level. Resistance comes in at $70.00...
Ahead of today's US GDP and FOMC policy decision, gold was trading little-changed. The metal has breached its 2025 bullish trendline, which was positioned in the $3,330–$3,350 area. This breakdown shifts the technical outlook to mildly bearish, although further downside confirmation is needed through the loss of additional support levels to solidify bearish...
Following the DXY’s significant rebound off a 17-year trendline, the EURUSD has broken below a trendline that connected all consecutive lows of 2025. This opens the door to further bearish risks, with key support levels now in sight. If the pair closes cleanly below 1.15, 1.1440 and 1.1380, downside extensions could reach 1.12 and 1.11, respectively. On the...
Aligned with the DXY holding above the 96 support and approaching the 100-resistance, the USDCAD is maintaining a rebound above the 1.3540 level. It has maintained a hold beyond the boundaries of a contracting downtrend across 2025 and is aiming for the 1.38 resistance to confirm a steeper bullish breakout. A sustained move above 1.38, which connects lower...