The dominance of the US dollar, driven by expectations of a high interest rate (4.5%) from the Federal Reserve as the annual CPI (2.9%) remains far from the 2% target , has weakened the Australian dollar in the short term. The AUD/USD has lost 11% of its value since late September 2024, and for now, neutrality has taken over the market as the next Federal...
Over the past two sessions, the price of crude oil has dropped more than 2%. This decline coincides with the Israeli Prime Minister reaching a ceasefire agreement in Gaza. The temporary peace deal has been perceived as favorable for oil production, as it eliminates a geopolitical conflict that could have disrupted operations in the Middle East. As a result,...
Iron ore futures have seen a decent rally over the past fortnight, rebounding from below $100 a tonne on strong volumes to take out downtrend resistance dating back to early December before going on with the move. The price is now testing a zone that includes minor horizontal resistance at $102.25 and downtrend established in October when Chinese markets were...
What Are Pivot Points? Pivot points are a popular technical indicator used by traders to help them predict significant areas in the market, such as potential support and resistance levels. These points are calculated by averaging the high, low, and closing prices of a previous period (which could be a day, a week, or a month) to establish possible trading zones...
Along with other yen crosses, the CAD/JPY has been printing bearish price action this week amid rising expectations that the BoJ will tighten its belt next week. The narrowing of yield differential between Japan and those of the rest of the world have helped to put some downward pressure on the al JPY pairs. Having broken the 108.55-108.90 support area (shaded...
Bitcoin futures are threatening to break out of the falling wedge established in early December, testing resistance during Asian trade. With RSI (14) through its downtrend and MACD set to cross over from below imminently, momentum is swinging in favour of the bulls, bolster the case for upside. If we see a clean downtrend break, longs could be established with...
Euro has responded to confluent downtrend support this week with EUR/USD poised to snap a six-week losing streak. The immediate focus is on a breakout of the January opening-range (1.02-1.0448) range for guidance with the broader short-bias vulnerable while above parallel support. Bottom line: rallies would need to be capped by 1.06 IF price is heading lower...
Apple's stock has experienced a decline of over 9% from its peak price of $260 , recorded during the last days of December. The stock has seen a reduction in market confidence, with selling positions now dominating. Crucial Barrier: The current $234 zone serves as a critical support level, where the upward trendline, the 100-period moving average, and the...
The GBP/JPY is displaying a bearish engulfing candle on its daily chart - and similar patterns are observed on all other major yen pairs. The GBP/JPY outlook has turned bearish as the Japanese yen gains strength amidst falling global bond yields, driven by softer-than-expected US and UK inflation data. Markets have shifted Fed rate-cut expectations forward,...
FTSE futures continue to coil in a triangle pattern dating back nearly a year. While that suggests we may eventually see a decisive break at some point, today’s setup looks at playing the existing range. The price has been well supported on dips towards and through 8200 recently, bouncing on four consecutive occasions. Considering the price action, one setup...
The Mexican peso gained value against the dollar during the last session, accumulating a growth of nearly 1% . The event occurred shortly after the release of U.S. PPI data, which showed a moderate increase of 0.2%, compared to the expected 0.4%. This indicates that price levels have slowed down, potentially moderating the pace at which the Fed maintains high...
DXY has put in a noticeable pullback so far to start the week, and that move stands out with the retracement in EUR/USD and the bounce so far in GBP/USD. Notably, however, the USD isn't weak everywhere, as USD/JPY has held support at prior resistance, so far. This similarly directs attention to tomorrow's CPI print but I think what's important in USD/JPY is the...
I posted about a Fibonacci level in-play on EUR/USD yesterday and that's since led to a spirited bounce. Yesterday's daily bar finished as a dragonfly doji after catching a bounce from the 1.0200 level, and today that's been continuation with the pair testing above the 1.0300 level following this morning's release of PPI data. Of course, this is just setting...
USD/CHF has been testing channel resistance since the start of the year with price marking bearish divergence into these highs- risk for exhaustion here with U.S. CPI on tap tomorrow. Monthly-open support rests at 9074 and is backed by the monthly low / 38.2% retracement of the 2022 decline at 9009/26 - broader bullish invalidation now raised to the...
After Monday's reversal-looking candle, all eyes today will be on whether the bulls will be able to take charge and further erode the bears' control. Earlier, weaker PPI data helped to fuel a rise in US futures, but since then we have seen a bit of a pullback from the highs, although nothin too alarming so far. Key support to watch include Monday's high at...
Chart Analysis: WTI Crude Oil is approaching a pivotal juncture as it tests the long-term descending trendline resistance, while short-term momentum remains firmly bullish. 1️⃣ Downtrend Resistance (Red Line): Prices are testing the multi-month descending trendline resistance near $78. A breakout above this level could signal a shift in the broader bearish...
Chart Analysis: The 10-Year US Treasury Yield continues to climb within a well-defined ascending channel, highlighting robust bullish momentum in recent months. 1️⃣ Ascending Channel: Yields are trading near the upper boundary of the ascending channel (green-shaded area), reflecting sustained upward pressure. Traders should monitor reactions at this boundary...
Chart Analysis: The AUD/USD pair remains in a persistent downtrend, with prices recently testing a critical horizontal support level near 0.6170. 1️⃣ Downtrend Line: A steep descending trendline (red line) highlights sustained bearish momentum. Price has yet to break above this line, signaling continued pressure on the downside. 2️⃣ Key Support...