The price of oil trades above the 50-Day SMA ($71.36) as it extends the series of higher highs and lows from last week. Crude Oil Outlook The price of oil may attempt to retrace the decline from the June high ($75.06) as it registers a fresh weekly high ($72.34), with a break/close above $75.60 (38.2% Fibonacci extension) bringing the May high ($76.69) on the...
The US dollar outlook improved further on the back of a much stronger ADP payrolls report and an above-forecast ISM services PMI reading, all adding to bets that the Fed will hike interest rates at least one more time. The resulting sell-off in risk assets means the AUD/USD outlook has been dealt a double or even triple whammy. Will we now see another strong US...
The US dollar will be tested this week with the release of some top-tier data in the coming days. We will have the closely-followed ISM services PMI on Thursday, followed by the June nonfarm payrolls report, while the latest CPI report will be published next week. Together, these data releases should be the deciding factor behind a hike or hold in US interest...
The price of oil appears to be defending the monthly low ($66.80) as it extends the rebound from the weekly low ($67.05), but failure to push above the 50-Day SMA ($71.95) may undermine the recent rebound in crude as the moving average reflects a negative slope. Crude Oil Outlook The price of oil may track the June range as it attempts to push above the...
ETH/USD appears to be stuck in a narrow range after registering a fresh monthly high ($1936) during the previous week. ETH/USD Outlook The V-shape recovery in ETH/USD appears to have stalled ahead of the May high ($2000) as it snaps the series of higher highs and lows from the monthly low ($1623), and failure to close above the $1865 (23.6% Fibonacci...
EUR/CAD appears to be reversing course ahead of the monthly low (1.4283) as it retraces the decline from the previous week. EUR/CAD Rate Outlook EUR/CAD consolidates following the failed attempt to test the February low (1.4239), and the exchange rate may stage a run at the monthly high (1.4540) as it holds above 1.4260 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement). A break...
A bull-flag appears to be taking shape after AUD/JPY registered a fresh yearly high (97.67) earlier this month. AUD/JPY Rate Outlook AUD/JPY may consolidate over the remainder of the month as it holds above last week’s low (95.26), and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) may continue to show the bullish momentum abating as if falls back from overbought...
EUR/JPY retraces the decline from earlier this week to trade to a fresh yearly high (155.75), and the exchange rate attempt to test the September 2008 high (159.61) as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) holds in overbought territory. EUR/JPY Rate Outlook EUR/JPY initiates a fresh series of higher highs and lows as the Japanese Yen depreciates against most of...
EUR/AUD carves a series of higher highs and lows after registering a fresh monthly low (0.5849) last week, and the exchange rate may stage a larger rebound as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) reverses ahead of oversold territory. EUR/AUD Rate Outlook EUR/AUD attempts to retrace the decline from the start of the month after failing to push below the 1.5800...
ETH/USD registers a fresh monthly low ($1623) after failing to defend the May low ($1741), with the recent decline in Ethereum pushing the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to its lowest level since March. ETH/USD Outlook ETH/USD appears to be staging a rebound amid the lack of momentum to push below the $1565 (50% Fibonacci retracement) to $1623 (78.6% Fibonacci...
AUD/JPY registers a fresh yearly high (95.19) as it stages a seven-day rally, and the exchange rate may attempt to test the November 2022 high (95.56) as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) pushes above 70 for the first time this year. AUD/JPY Rate Outlook AUD/JPY continues to appreciate after reversing ahead of the 50-Day SMA (90.98) at the start of the month,...
EUR/JPY trades to a fresh monthly high (151.25) after defending the opening range for June, and the exchange rate may attempt to test the May high (151.62) as it appears to be tracking the positive slope in the 50-Day SMA (148.21). EUR/JPY Rate Outlook EUR/JPY continues to hold above the moving average amid the failed attempt to clear the monthly low (148.63),...
Sterling poised to mark an outside-day reversal off confluent resistance at 1.2600/25 - a region defined by the 78.6% retracement of the May sell-off and the yearly high-day close. Initial support 1.2419 backed by 1.2370 (key) A topside breach would expose a run towards the next major Fibonacci hurdle at 1.2757 . US Inflation on tap tomorrow followed by...
The recent decline in EUR/CAD seems to have stalled ahead of the February low (1.4239) as it trades in a narrow range, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) reflecting a similar dynamic amid the failed attempt to push below 30. EUR/CAD Rate Outlook EUR/CAD consolidates after registering a fresh monthly low (1.4283) during the first full week of June, and the...
GBP/USD clears the opening range for June as it initiates a series of higher highs and lows, and the exchange rate may continue to retrace the decline from the May high (1.2680) as it trades back above the 50-Day SMA (1.2465). GBP/USD Rate Outlook GBP/USD registers a fresh monthly high (1.2558) on the back of US Dollar weakness, with a move above 1.2650 (38.2%...
AUD/JPY cleared the February high (93.05) as the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) delivered a 25bp rate hike, and the exchange rate may attempt to test the December 2022 high (93.80) as it initiates a series of higher highs and lows. AUD/JPY Rate Outlook AUD/JPY appears to have reversed course ahead of the 50-Day SMA (90.45) as it registers a fresh yearly high...
The S&P 500 is approaching a key lateral confluence at 4308/45312- a region defined by the August high-day close, the 61.8% retracement of the 2022 decline and channel resistance. Looking for possible inflection / price exhaustion into this threshold. A topside breach / close keeps the focus on the upper parallel (blue- currently ~4350s) and the April 2022...
EUR/AUD takes out the April low (1.6036) as it extends the series of lower highs and lows from last week, and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) may show the bearish momentum gathering pace as it approaches oversold territory. EUR/AUD Rate Outlook EUR/AUD continues to trade to fresh monthly lows after failing to hold above the 50-Day SMA (1.6351), with the...