GBP/USD weakens for the third consecutive day after failing to test the April 2022 high (1.3167), with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicating a textbook sell signal as it falls below 70. GBP/USD Rate Outlook A move below the 1.3000 (78.6% Fibonacci extension) handle may push GBP/USD towards the former-resistance zone around the June high (1.2848), with a...
EUR/JPY appears to be stuck in a narrow range as it bounces back from a fresh weekly low (156.79), but the exchange rate may face a larger pullback as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) slips below 70 to indicate a textbook sell-signal. EUR/JPY Rate Outlook EUR/JPY consolidates following the failed attempt to break/close above the 157.20 (161.8% Fibonacci...
The price of gold clears the May high ($76.69) as it stages a three-day rally, with the advance in crude pushing the Relative Strength Index (RSI) towards overbought territory. Crude Oil Outlook The price of oil registers a fresh monthly high ($76.96) as it carves a series higher highs and lows, and a move above 70 in the RSI is likely to be accompanied by a...
The price of gold clears the opening range for July to trade above the 50-Day SMA ($1958) for the first time since May. Gold Price Outlook The price of gold extends the series of higher highs and lows from last week to register a fresh monthly high ($1960), with a break/close above the $1972 (78.6% Fibonacci retracement) to $1977 (50% Fibonacci extension)...
BTC/USD trades near the June high ($31410) ahead of a major US holiday, but the recent advance in Bitcoin has failed to push the Relative Strength Index (RSI) into overbought territory. BTC/USD Outlook BTC/USD consolidates after registering a fresh yearly high during the previous month, with a break above the June high ($31410) opening up the $33770 (78.6%...
A bull-flag appears to be unfolding in GBP/USD as it clears the June high (1.2848), with the four-day rally in the exchange rate pushing the Relative Strength Index (RSI) towards overbought territory. GBP/USD Rate Outlook GBP/USD registers a fresh yearly high (1.2935) as it extends the series of higher highs and lows from last week, with the move above the...
At the time of writing, gold was up a touch but off its earlier highs. Silver had turned negative having been higher earlier -- not a great sign. Still, with the dollar easing, there is hope. Wednesday’s release of US CPI is eagerly anticipated. What is driving gold prices? We have seen bond yields decline at the start of this week, with investors potentially...
The Fibonacci sequence is a series of whole numbers where each figure is the sum of the two before it. It starts with zero and one, which are known as the 'seed numbers'. The next number is (0 + 1) one, followed by (1 + 1) two and so on. Fibonacci ratios are a series of percentages calculated by dividing figures along the Fibonacci sequence. There are quite a few...
The price of oil trades above the 50-Day SMA ($71.36) as it extends the series of higher highs and lows from last week. Crude Oil Outlook The price of oil may attempt to retrace the decline from the June high ($75.06) as it registers a fresh weekly high ($72.34), with a break/close above $75.60 (38.2% Fibonacci extension) bringing the May high ($76.69) on the...
The US dollar outlook improved further on the back of a much stronger ADP payrolls report and an above-forecast ISM services PMI reading, all adding to bets that the Fed will hike interest rates at least one more time. The resulting sell-off in risk assets means the AUD/USD outlook has been dealt a double or even triple whammy. Will we now see another strong US...
The US dollar will be tested this week with the release of some top-tier data in the coming days. We will have the closely-followed ISM services PMI on Thursday, followed by the June nonfarm payrolls report, while the latest CPI report will be published next week. Together, these data releases should be the deciding factor behind a hike or hold in US interest...
The price of oil appears to be defending the monthly low ($66.80) as it extends the rebound from the weekly low ($67.05), but failure to push above the 50-Day SMA ($71.95) may undermine the recent rebound in crude as the moving average reflects a negative slope. Crude Oil Outlook The price of oil may track the June range as it attempts to push above the...
ETH/USD appears to be stuck in a narrow range after registering a fresh monthly high ($1936) during the previous week. ETH/USD Outlook The V-shape recovery in ETH/USD appears to have stalled ahead of the May high ($2000) as it snaps the series of higher highs and lows from the monthly low ($1623), and failure to close above the $1865 (23.6% Fibonacci...
EUR/CAD appears to be reversing course ahead of the monthly low (1.4283) as it retraces the decline from the previous week. EUR/CAD Rate Outlook EUR/CAD consolidates following the failed attempt to test the February low (1.4239), and the exchange rate may stage a run at the monthly high (1.4540) as it holds above 1.4260 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement). A break...
A bull-flag appears to be taking shape after AUD/JPY registered a fresh yearly high (97.67) earlier this month. AUD/JPY Rate Outlook AUD/JPY may consolidate over the remainder of the month as it holds above last week’s low (95.26), and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) may continue to show the bullish momentum abating as if falls back from overbought...
EUR/JPY retraces the decline from earlier this week to trade to a fresh yearly high (155.75), and the exchange rate attempt to test the September 2008 high (159.61) as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) holds in overbought territory. EUR/JPY Rate Outlook EUR/JPY initiates a fresh series of higher highs and lows as the Japanese Yen depreciates against most of...
EUR/AUD carves a series of higher highs and lows after registering a fresh monthly low (0.5849) last week, and the exchange rate may stage a larger rebound as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) reverses ahead of oversold territory. EUR/AUD Rate Outlook EUR/AUD attempts to retrace the decline from the start of the month after failing to push below the 1.5800...
ETH/USD registers a fresh monthly low ($1623) after failing to defend the May low ($1741), with the recent decline in Ethereum pushing the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to its lowest level since March. ETH/USD Outlook ETH/USD appears to be staging a rebound amid the lack of momentum to push below the $1565 (50% Fibonacci retracement) to $1623 (78.6% Fibonacci...