The US Dollar has been pulling back since May 1st, which was the last FOMC rate decision. The Fed sounded dovish there and that led to a sizable pullback.
But it was the data in the month of May that really seemed to help sellers. The NFP report on the 3rd was the first NFP report with the headline number printing below expectations since November. And then the...
GBP/JPY appears to be defending the weekly low (197.21) as it no longer carves a series of lower highs and lows.
GBP/JPY Outlook
GBP/JPY may attempt to retrace the decline from the start of the week as it reflects an inside-day candle, with a move above the 199.80 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement) to 200.50 (78.6% Fibonacci extension) region bringing the May high...
USD/CHF attempts to retrace the decline from earlier this week as it bounces back from the 50-Day SMA (0.9086).
USD/CHF Rate Outlook
USD/CHF may continue to track the positive slope in the moving average as it no longer carves a series of lower highs and lows, with a breach above 0.9180 (23.6% Fibonacci extension) bringing the monthly high (0.9225) on the...
USD/JPY is back on the defensive this week with a two-day sell-off of nearly 2% once again approaching multi-month uptrend support.
The focus is on a reaction into confluent support near 154.09 IF reached with a close below 152.55 ultimately needed to suggest a larger reversal is underway here.
Initial resistance eyed at the yearly high-day close (HDC) at ...
The price of oil may attempt to test the February low ($71.41) as it falls for the fourth consecutive day.
Crude Oil Price Outlook
Crude extends the series of lower highs and lows from last week to push the Relative Strength Index (RSI) towards oversold territory, and the oscillator may show the bearish momentum gathering pace should it push 30 for the first...
Yields on the US 10-Year seem to have broken the January uptrend, threatening another test of key support at 4.26/32 - a region defined by the 52-week moving average, the 1998 low-close, and the 61.8% retracement of he 2000 Decline. Look for a larger reaction there IF reached with a break / close below needed to suggest a larger reversal is underway here....
AUD/JPY appears to be under pressure following the failed attempt to test the April high (104.96).
AUD/JPY Rate Outlook
AUD/JPY initiates a series of lower highs and lows as it continues to pullback from the weekly high (104.87), with the recent weakness in the exchange rate keeping the Relative Strength Index (RSI) out of overbought territory.
Lack of...
Euro is poised to mark a reversal just pips ahead of key support today at 1.0782/86 - a region defined by the 38.2% retracement of the April rally, and the 200-day moving average. Note that former slope resistance is also offering support here and further highlights the significance of this zone.
Shorts at risk while above this threshold heading into the...
The USD decline settled into key support last week at 104.15/36- a region defined by the December high-close (HC), the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the December rally, the measured head-and-shoulders objective of the April breakdown, and the 200-day moving average. Note uptrend slope support also converges on this threshold over the next few weeks and the...
GBP/JPY pushes above the April high (200.55) to register a fresh yearly high (200.65).
GBP/JPY Outlook
The three-day rally in GBP/JPY has pushed the Relative Strength Index (RSI) above 70 for the second time this year, and the overbought reading in the oscillator is likely to be accompanied by a further advance in the exchange rate like the price action from...
Watch this week's close in Gold - price is poised to mark an outside-week reversal off uptrend resistance on mounting RSI divergence. As it stands, XAU/USD is poised to mark the largest weekly decline of the year (since December). Bulls may be vulnerable here near-term.
Initial weekly support at 2301 with the broader outlook still constructive while above ...
GBP/USD seems to have exhausted into a major pivot zone we've been tracking since last year at 1.2773-1.2816 - a region defined by the February 2019 low and the July reversal close.
The April rally is vulnerable while below this threshold.
Weekly support rests with the yearly low-week close (LWC) at 1.2493 with key support steady at 1.2364 .
A topside...
The price of gold gives back the advance from the start of the week to keep the Relative Strength Index (RSI) out of overbought territory.
Gold Price Outlook
The price of gold carves a series of lower highs and lows after registering a fresh yearly high ($2450), and lack of momentum to hold above the $2363 (161.8% Fibonacci extension) to $2396 (78.6% Fibonacci...
WTI is back at a major support pivot we've been tracking for months now at 77.56/67 .
A weekly close below this threshold would be needed to invalidate the yearly uptrend and exposes a possible plunge towards 75.33 and the yearly Low-day close at 72.93 .
Key resistance steady at the 200-day moving average / 38.2% retracement at 79.89-80.01 .
Moment of...
BTC/USD is on track to test the April high ($72727) as it carves a series of higher highs and lows.
BTC/USD Outlook
BTC/USD trades to a fresh monthly high ($70903) as it extends the advance from the start of the week, with the recent rally in Bitcoin pushing the Relative Strength Index (RSI) towards overbought territory.
A move above the April high ($72727)...
GBP/JPY approaches the April high (200.55) following the failed attempt to close below the 50-Day SMA (192.88).
GBP/JPY Outlook
GBP/JPY climbs to a fresh monthly high (198.59) to push the Relative Strength Index (RSI) towards overbought territory, with a move above 70 in the oscillator likely to be accompanied by a further advance in the exchange rate like the...
USD/CHF threatens the upward trend from earlier this year as it fails to defend the opening range for May.
USD/CHF Rate Outlook
USD/CHF extends the recent series of lower highs and lows to clear the April low (0.8998), with the recent weakness in the exchange rate pushing the Relative Strength Index (RSI) to its lowest level since January.
A break/close below...
The price of gold approaches the April high ($2432) after breaking out of the descending channel carried over from the previous month.
Gold Price Outlook
The price of gold retraces the decline from earlier this to register a fresh monthly high ($2390), with the recent advance in bullion pushing the Relative Strength Index (RSI) towards overbought territory.
A...
