DXY has put in a noticeable pullback so far to start the week, and that move stands out with the retracement in EUR/USD and the bounce so far in GBP/USD. Notably, however, the USD isn't weak everywhere, as USD/JPY has held support at prior resistance, so far.
This similarly directs attention to tomorrow's CPI print but I think what's important in USD/JPY is the...
I posted about a Fibonacci level in-play on EUR/USD yesterday and that's since led to a spirited bounce.
Yesterday's daily bar finished as a dragonfly doji after catching a bounce from the 1.0200 level, and today that's been continuation with the pair testing above the 1.0300 level following this morning's release of PPI data.
Of course, this is just setting...
USD/CHF has been testing channel resistance since the start of the year with price marking bearish divergence into these highs- risk for exhaustion here with U.S. CPI on tap tomorrow.
Monthly-open support rests at 9074 and is backed by the monthly low / 38.2% retracement of the 2022 decline at 9009/26 - broader bullish invalidation now raised to the...
After Monday's reversal-looking candle, all eyes today will be on whether the bulls will be able to take charge and further erode the bears' control.
Earlier, weaker PPI data helped to fuel a rise in US futures, but since then we have seen a bit of a pullback from the highs, although nothin too alarming so far.
Key support to watch include Monday's high at...
Chart Analysis:
WTI Crude Oil is approaching a pivotal juncture as it tests the long-term descending trendline resistance, while short-term momentum remains firmly bullish.
1️⃣ Downtrend Resistance (Red Line):
Prices are testing the multi-month descending trendline resistance near $78.
A breakout above this level could signal a shift in the broader bearish...
Chart Analysis:
The 10-Year US Treasury Yield continues to climb within a well-defined ascending channel, highlighting robust bullish momentum in recent months.
1️⃣ Ascending Channel:
Yields are trading near the upper boundary of the ascending channel (green-shaded area), reflecting sustained upward pressure.
Traders should monitor reactions at this boundary...
Chart Analysis:
The AUD/USD pair remains in a persistent downtrend, with prices recently testing a critical horizontal support level near 0.6170.
1️⃣ Downtrend Line:
A steep descending trendline (red line) highlights sustained bearish momentum.
Price has yet to break above this line, signaling continued pressure on the downside.
2️⃣ Key Support...
Recent ventures below 5900 have not last long, as demonstrated by the string of long downside wicks on the dailies in November and December. With a pin candle printing Monday following a bounce off 5808, a close above 5900 on Tuesday would generate a bullish setup heading into Wednesday’s inflation report.
If the price can push through 5900, longs could be...
More USD strength to start the week and the big item for the dollar on this week's calendar is the CPI release on Wednesday morning.
USD is overbought on both weekly and daily charts and EUR/USD is oversold on the weekly.
That doesn't necessarily spell reversal, however, and we're likely waiting for that CPI data on Wednesday to see if there's going to be...
The AUDUSD has experienced a consistent decline of over 3% in the past month. This is primarily due to the growing strength of the U.S. dollar as the next Fed decision approaches (January 29), where interest rates are expected to remain stable at 4.5%.
Bearish Channel: Since October 4, 2024, a solid bearish channel has been maintained, with the price...
USD/CAD has been trading just below resistance for over a month now at the 1.618% extension of the 2023 advance at 1.4483 . Note that the upper parallel of the ascending pitchfork continues to cap the December breakout.
Initial support rests with the 75% parallel (currently ~ 1.43 ) with bullish invalidation now raised to 1.4099-14115.
Ultimately a breach /...
The DXY's strength has pressured markets into critical territories, pushing the pound toward key support levels towards 1.2030.
Fibonacci Extensions
Using the Fibonacci extension tool on the corrective pattern between the July 2023 high (1.3125), October 2023 low (1.2030), and September 2024 high (1.3434), the notable 1.272 extension level aligns with the...
While USD/JPY remains strongly correlated with yields in the belly of the US Treasury curve, that’s not translated to explosive upside recently, a noticeable departure from the trend seen in previous months where rising yields saw dollar-yen rip higher.
With the pair unable to hold gains despite the blowout nonfarm payrolls report last Friday, the price action...
After the surprising report of 256k jobs created compared to the expected 160k, the U.S. index has experienced a decline of over 1% in the last trading hours. This is due to the perception that strong employment data could be counterproductive to the outlook for future interest rate cuts by the Fed.
Lateral Range:
Recently, the price has been trading within a...
Gold has been able to ignore the US dollar strength and rising bond yields until now. But since topping out in October, it has created a few lower highs, suggesting that the trend is no longer bullish as it was in the early parts of last year. The precious metal is now testing a bearish trend line derived from connecting the prior two highs. This trend line...
Chart Analysis:
The GBP/USD pair continues to slide within a well-established descending channel, with bearish momentum intensifying as it tests key support levels.
1️⃣ Descending Channel:
The pair remains firmly within the red-shaded descending channel, reinforcing the dominant downtrend.
Price is approaching the lower boundary of the channel, a critical area...
Chart Analysis:
The AUD/USD pair continues its downward trajectory, reaching critical support levels, while bearish momentum remains dominant.
1️⃣ Key Support Levels:
Immediate support at 0.6190, marking the current level of defense for buyers.
Further support at 0.6169, the next line of demand if the pair breaks lower.
2️⃣ Downtrend Line:
The pair remains...
Chart Analysis:
The Japan 225 index remains within a clearly defined horizontal range, suggesting consolidation and indecision among market participants.
1️⃣ Key Resistance and Support Levels:
Resistance: The upper boundary near 40,236 serves as a key resistance, capping upside attempts.
Support: The lower boundary around 37,708 offers a critical level of...
