Market analysis from FOREX.com
Gold remains in a tight consolidation on the 4-hour chart after its historic run to $3,431. Price is trapped in a clear rectangle between ~$3,280 and ~$3,360: 📦 Sideways range suggests indecision after the massive bull run 🔵 50 SMA holding as dynamic support 📉 MACD is flat but trying to cross higher 📊 RSI hovering near neutral at 50 – neither overbought nor...
The Australian Dollar staged an impressive V-shaped recovery month with AUD/USD surging more than 9% off multi-year lows. The advance has now extended into confluent resistance at 6408/29- a region defined by the 50% retracement of the 2024 decline and the February swing high. Note that the upper parallel of the descending pitchfork converges on this threshold...
The British Pound has rallied more than 11.1% off the yearly low with GBP/USD trading into uptrend resistance at fresh yearly highs. Building momentum divergence highlights the risk for exhaustion here and while the broader outlook remains constructive, the immediate advance may be vulnerable near-term while below this slope. Initial support rests with the...
The recovery in NZD/USD seems to have stalled ahead of the November high (0.6038) as it gives back the advance from the start of the week. In turn, a move/close below the 0.5920 (61.8% Fibonacci extension) to 0.5930 (78.6% Fibonacci extension) region may push NZD/USD towards the 0.5740 (78.6% Fibonacci retracement) to 0.5760 (100% Fibonacci extension) zone, with...
AUD/JPY appears to be pulling back ahead of the 50-Day SMA (92.76) as it extends the decline from the start of the week. In turn, AUD/JPY may track the negative slope in the moving average as it struggles to hold above the 91.50 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement) to 91.70 (38.2% Fibonacci extension) region, with a break/close below 90.50 (61.8% Fibonacci extension)...
Spotify's stock has shown significant price weakness and is now trading below $600 per share, shortly after a large bearish gap formed following the release of its quarterly results. The company reported earnings per share of €1.07, below expectations of €2.13 per share. Additionally, Spotify projected operating profit for Q2 at €539 million, under the market...
The S&P 500 has rallied more than 15.6% off the lows with the bull now testing confluent resistance at 5531/43 - a region defined by the 78.6% retracement of the monthly range and the April high-day close. Note that a three-point resistance slope converges on this threshold and the immediate advance may be vulnerable while below. Initial support rests with the...
The German index has posted steady gains, rising nearly 7% over the last four trading sessions, mainly driven by the low interest rates maintained by the ECB at 2.25%, as well as the easing of potential trade war tensions, which has allowed the index’s bullish bias to remain strong in recent weeks. However, buying candles have been gradually diminishing over the...
Ahead of a busy week, the S&P 500 has found resistance at a key area of resistance near 5550. The Index had rallied in the previous three sessions, but with trade and economic uncertainty still at the forefront, investors are not rushing to chase this rally - and rightly so. May be they will still buy the dip as we head deeper into the week, though, given Trump's...
EUR/JPY has been digesting for the better part of the past nine months. While both Euro and USD strength have been on full display in varying ways over that period of time, each currency has been a bit more balanced against the Japanese Yen. The range has been wide at more than 800 pips but there's also a descending triangle that's set up along the way, with...
The DXY is currently maintaining a bullish setup amid trade negotiations, election developments, and anticipation of key leading U.S. economic indicators this week. An inverted head-and-shoulders formation is visible on the 4-hour time frame. A decisive catalyst and a breakout above the 100.00 and 100.30 levels are needed to confirm a more sustained bullish...
Russell 2000 futures look sluggish heading into a week laden with macro risk events. Given the cyclical characteristics of the underlying index, any hint of weakness may amplify U.S. recession fears, increasing the risk of renewed downside for stocks. Sitting within what resembles a rising wedge and with a possible evening star pattern forming, the risk of a...
Last week I highlighted the oversold reading on the weekly DXY chart. While bulls didn't exactly put in a massive showing it was also one of the first green weekly bars in a month. Notably, the monthly April bar looks very bearish but the bulk of those losses were in the first 11 days of the month and last week, on Monday, a massive spot of support came into...
EUR/USD is working on its first red weekly candle after four consecutive weekly gains, and that had extended a strong showing in early-March as bulls started to take over. Interestingly this happens with the backdrop of a dovish ECB and this leads to CPI data for next week. There's increasingly attractiveness behind swings, as taken from that indecision on the...
Google's stock managed to post a bullish gap of more than 3% in the last session, shortly after the company announced its quarterly results. Initially, it was reported that total sales for the last published quarter reached $90.23 billion, compared to the expected $89.12 billion. In addition, the company posted earnings per share of $2.81, beating expectations of...
Trump continues to say positive things - just now suggesting that they are very close to a deal with Japan on tariffs. But it is China where the bulk of uncertainty lies. He has been quite upbeat this week, but China continues to push back against the optimism. European indices extended their gains, buoyed by the previous day’s upbeat mood, while US futures have...
After a bullish wedge break and having cleared the key 50-day moving average earlier this week, bitcoin bulls will now be eyeing a break above $95,000, especially with indicators such as RSI (14) and MACD signalling strengthening topside momentum. A break and close above $95,000 would generate a bullish setup, allowing for longs to be established above with a...
During the last trading session, the GBP/USD pair posted a gain of more than 0.5% in favor of the pound, as U.S. dollar weakness continues, even after some positive remarks regarding the U.S.–China trade war. For now, it seems that investors are viewing European currencies as a potential safe haven amid the current wave of economic uncertainty across markets. This...