The recent decline in EUR/CAD seems to have stalled ahead of the February low (1.4239) as it trades in a narrow range, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) reflecting a similar dynamic amid the failed attempt to push below 30. EUR/CAD Rate Outlook EUR/CAD consolidates after registering a fresh monthly low (1.4283) during the first full week of June, and the...
GBP/USD clears the opening range for June as it initiates a series of higher highs and lows, and the exchange rate may continue to retrace the decline from the May high (1.2680) as it trades back above the 50-Day SMA (1.2465). GBP/USD Rate Outlook GBP/USD registers a fresh monthly high (1.2558) on the back of US Dollar weakness, with a move above 1.2650 (38.2%...
AUD/JPY cleared the February high (93.05) as the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) delivered a 25bp rate hike, and the exchange rate may attempt to test the December 2022 high (93.80) as it initiates a series of higher highs and lows. AUD/JPY Rate Outlook AUD/JPY appears to have reversed course ahead of the 50-Day SMA (90.45) as it registers a fresh yearly high...
The S&P 500 is approaching a key lateral confluence at 4308/45312- a region defined by the August high-day close, the 61.8% retracement of the 2022 decline and channel resistance. Looking for possible inflection / price exhaustion into this threshold. A topside breach / close keeps the focus on the upper parallel (blue- currently ~4350s) and the April 2022...
EUR/AUD takes out the April low (1.6036) as it extends the series of lower highs and lows from last week, and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) may show the bearish momentum gathering pace as it approaches oversold territory. EUR/AUD Rate Outlook EUR/AUD continues to trade to fresh monthly lows after failing to hold above the 50-Day SMA (1.6351), with the...
ETH/USD snaps the range bound price action from last week after following the failed attempts to close above the $1865 (23.6% Fibonacci retracement) to $1908 (61.8% Fibonacci extension) region. ETH/USD Outlook ETH/USD trades to a fresh monthly low ($1780) after struggling to hold above the 50-Day SMA ($1872), and Ethereum may continue to give back the advance...
What a strange jobs report that was! On the one hand, the headline number suggests all is well in the economy with the addition of a very strong 339K jobs. But the rise in the unemployment rate to 3.7% from 3.5% completely contradicts the jobs growth. The unemployment rate is based on a household survey, so there is always going to be some deviation. But with the...
EUR/CAD snaps the range bound price action from last week as it slipped to a fresh monthly low (1.4465) on the last day of May, and the exchange rate may attempt to test the March low (1.4383) as it carves a series of lower highs and lows. EUR/CAD Rate Outlook EUR/CAD trades to a fresh weekly low (1.4446) after struggling to trade back above the 1.4600 (38.2%...
AUD/JPY falls toward the 50-Day SMA (89.95) following the failed attempt to test the monthly high (92.44), and the exchange rate may give back the advance from the May low (89.17) if it struggles to hold above the moving average. AUD/JPY Rate Outlook AUD/JPY carves a series of lower highs and lows as it extends the decline from the start of the week, and the...
GBP/USD attempts to trade back above the 50-Day SMA (1.2442) as it registers a fresh weekly high (1.2447), and the exchange rate may track the positive slope in the moving average as it seems to be defending the April low (1.2275). GBP/USD Rate Outlook Failure to break/close below the 1.2280 (23.6% Fibonacci extension) to 1.2340 (23.6% Fibonacci extension)...
Apple has now rallied more than 43% off yearly lows with the bulls now testing a key resistance at 177.11/179.70- a region defined by the 100% ext of the yearly advance and the 2022 high-day close. Note that this region converges channel resistance over the next few days- watch the closes. Support rests with lower parallel / 78.6% retracement of the 2022 decline...
#NDX is now within striking distance of a key resistance zone we've been tracking for months now at 14327/49 - a region defined by the April 22' uncovered gap and the objective 61.8% retracement of the 2021 decline. Looking for possible price inflection into this threshold IF reached. Michael Boutros, Sr Technical Strategist with FOREX.com Twitter: MBForex @MBForex
EUR/AUD appears to have reversed ahead of the monthly low (1.6137) as it breaks out of the range bound price action carried over from last week. EUR/AUD Rate Outlook EUR/AUD trades to a fresh weekly high (1.6498) after bouncing along the 50-Day SMA (1.6320), and the exchange rate may track the positive slope in the moving average as it retraces the decline...
The debt limit stalemate continues as we approach the Memorial Day weekend. With the June 1 deadline now just a stone’s throw away, the pressure is growing on both sides to strike a deal. Will the markets stage a recovery in the event of a deal? That is highly likely. But whether that potential recovery will hold, is what I am not too sure about. If you take out...
EUR/JPY may attempt to retrace the decline from the monthly high (151.62) as it bounces back from the weekly low (148.84). EUR/JPY Rate Outlook EUR/JPY appears to be on track to test the weekly high (150.06) as it climbs back above 149.60 (100% Fibonacci extension), and the exchange rate may track the positive slope in the 50-Day SMA (145.25) as it holds above...
A breakout of the yearly opening-range in USD/JPY is now approaching the first major resistance hurdle at 139.58-140.33- a region define by the 50% retracement of the 2022 decline and 100% extension of the yearly ascent. Looking for a larger reaction there IF reached. Support / Near-term bullish invalidation now raised to 137.47. Michael Boutros, Sr Technical...
AUD/JPY appears to have staged a failed attempt to test the monthly high (92.44) as it gives back the advance from the start of the week. AUD/JPY Rate Outlook AUD/JPY pulls back from a fresh weekly high (92.35) as the Japanese Yen appreciates against most of its major counterparts, and the exchange rate may continue to track the monthly range as it fails to...
GBP/USD failed to defend the opening range for May as it registered a fresh monthly low (1.2392) during the previous week, but the exchange rate may respond to the positive slope in the 50-Day SMA (1.2416) as it holds above the moving average. GBP/USD Rate Outlook GBP/USD consolidates after snapping the series of lower highs and lows from last week, and the...