Traders should be alert to the risk of an accelerated downside move in S&P 500 futures.
After hitting record highs just two weeks ago, the price action has deteriorated rapidly with an initial break of minor uptrend support followed by sustained selling on rising volumes. The 50DMA has given way, as has the February 3 low, leaving the price teetering on the...
Will the dip buyers emerge here?
US markets continue to remain on the back foot, with the tech sector in sharp focus after Nvidia’s earnings. The chip giant initially climbed over 1% in pre-market trading but swiftly reversed, dropping 4% as investors reacted to results that, while decent, failed to dazzle. With chipmakers driving market volatility and concerns...
The US Dollar Index (DXY) remains firm above the 106-mark, applying pressure on the latest currency market rebound amid escalating tariff and trade war concerns.
With the first wave of tariffs on Canada and Mexico set to take effect in early March, Trump's renewed tariff threats against the EU are further strengthening the Dollar's stance.
This has kept the...
Following an extended expanding consolidation from Dec 2024 – Jan 2025, bearish pressure intensified after a downside breakout, increasing the probability of a double-top formation at 108,360 – 109,350. This raises concerns about a potential drop towards the previous major support-turned-resistance zone at 72,000 – 74,000.
🔹 Momentum Check: The RSI has hit...
WTI crude oil is testing key uptrend support, offering fresh trading setups depending on how the price action evolves.
With Tuesday’s bearish key reversal candle, RSI (14) trending lower and MACD confirming the bearish momentum signal, a downside bias is favoured. However, with crude already down sharply—and past rebounds from the trendline often proving...
I think the operative question to ask right now is who wants to get bullish on USD/JPY? With expectations for the Fed to cut rates later this year and Japanese inflation remaining high, to the point that the Bank of Japan may need to hike rates again, the fundamental backdrop seems ill-suited to the long side of the pair. Nonetheless, USD/JPY has held on quite...
EUR/USD has now tested the 1.0500 level for each of the past five trading days. Bulls haven't exactly taken-over as they haven't been able to drive a strong breakout, but there has been a drying up of bears as each of the past five days have also brought higher-lows, which extends a sequence of higher-lows that's built in the pair so far in February.
The 25%...
The AUD/USD has fallen about 0.5% on the session, making it among the weakest of currency pairs so far in today's session. We had some weaker data from Australia overnight in the form of CPI, coming in at 2.5% vs. 2.6% eyed, and construction work done was half the expected rate at 0.5% q/q.
The focus will turn to the US side of the equation as we head deeper into...
Traders should be alert to the growing risk of a downside move in gold.
Bullish momentum underpinning the rally has weakened over recent weeks, alongside shaky price action.
RSI (14) has diverged from price, setting lower highs even as the latter briefly hit record levels. The bearish momentum signal has been confirmed by MACD, which has turned lower...
Gold has been on a relentless tear, climbing within a well-defined rising channel since early January. But after touching $2,950, the rally has finally hit turbulence, with prices pulling back sharply to $2,895 (-1.94%).
Is this just a healthy correction, or is the yellow metal gearing up for a deeper decline?
🔍 The Setup – A Near-Perfect Rally Faces Resistance...
📉 EUR/JPY edges lower to 156.38 (-0.22%) as sellers pressure key support.
🔎 Technical Setup:
156.00 major horizontal support holding for now.
Bearish bias intact below 50-day EMA (160.08) & 200-day EMA (161.87).
Break below 156.00 could open downside toward 152.50-153.00.
📊 Momentum Indicators:
RSI at 36.62 → Not oversold yet, but approaching key levels.
MACD...
📉 BTC/USD plunges -5.48% to 86,539, breaking below 91,000 support
🔎 Key Technical Breakdown:
Massive rejection at 91,000, flipping it into resistance.
Price is now testing the 200-day EMA (85,641) → Crucial for short-term trend.
Fib retracement levels:
38.2% @ 86,672 (in play now)
50.0% @ 79,616 (next major support)
61.8% @ 72,559 (deeper pullback scenario)
📊...
Bitcoin has registered a decline of more than 4% over the past two trading sessions, and for now, the bearish bias remains strong.
This downward pressure is fueled by major security breaches on the Bybit exchange, where approximately $1.4 billion in funds were stolen. This event has eroded confidence in Bitcoin, leading to sustained selling pressure in the...
Introduction to ABCD Patterns
The ABCD pattern is a tool in technical analysis that measures up and down moves within a trend. It consists of three consecutive price swings, forming a very specific shape as shown on the chart above. Note that the dark solid line on the chart above is the ABCD pattern while the dotted lines are retracement measurements. The ABCD...
The S&P 500 has bounced off its earlier lows in the last couple of hours, after dipping to take out liquidity below Friday's low (6011) and key support around 6000. Where do we go from here?
On Friday, the index tumbled sharply to close near the lows. Whether that marked a near-term market top remains to be seen. A downside follow-through would attract selling...
EUR/JPY is teetering above known support, but with momentum favouring the bears, there’s no need to rush into longs.
If the pair continues find buyers on dips below 156.21, a long trade could be considered above the level with a stop beneath for protection. 158 looms as an initial target, with 159 and 161 other levels to watch.
The preference is to wait for a...
the USD/JPY pair remains a market that could have implications across other markets, similar to what we saw last summer when the initial stages of the unwinding carry trade drove a global equity sell-off. In that episode USD/JPY lost a little more than 2,000 pips and this caused strong bearish moves in U.S. equities, particularly the high-flying large cap tech...
While EUR/USD continues to battle it out at 1.0500 as it has for a couple of months now, GBP/USD ran up to a fresh two-month-high last week. This could make the pair as possibly more attractive for USD-weakness scenarios given that continued build of higher-highs and lows on the four-hour chart.
Price is nearing a support level at the Fibonacci retracement...
