The USD/JPY has given back a bulk of yesterday's NFP-driven gains. Although the data was not as strong as the headlines suggested, the fact that we saw decent moves in bond and equity markets suggests investors were overall impressed by the figures. So it seems the market is preparing itself for some more tariff-related volatility as we approach the 9 July...
The USD/JPY hasn't dropped like the other dollar crossed yet, but could we potentially see a clean break down below 142.50 support? Well, we will need to see a big miss on the NFP print for that to potentially happen.
The consensus is for a 110K increase in non-farm payrolls, but recent data has been less than convincing. The ADP private payrolls figure released...
While the likes of the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 are already record highs, the Dow has not achieved that target yet. It continues to make higher highs and higher lows, and the momentum seems to be getting stronger. Soon, it may even flirt with fresh all-time highs, as investors ride the tailwinds of a robust rally that kicked off in early April. There have been a few...
During the latest trading session, Bitcoin gained over 3%, as renewed buying momentum entered the market. For now, the cryptocurrency appears to be approaching its historical highs once again, driven largely by the growing weakness of the U.S. dollar. This is reflected in the DXY index, which measures dollar strength and is now hovering around 96 points,...
NZD/USD snaps the recent series of higher highs and lows as it pulls back from a fresh yearly high (0.6120), and lack of momentum to hold above the 0.6040 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement) to 0.6070 (61.8% Fibonacci extension) zone may push the exchange rate toward the June low (0.5883).
Failure to defend the May low (0.5847) may lead to a test of 0.5830 (38.2%...
Despite the massive move of weakness in USD in Q2, USD/JPY has held up relatively well, especially over the past two months.
The 140.00 level held the lows in April and then it was the 142.50 level. The bullish trendline connecting those two points had some additional higher-low context.
But as looked at last week, the 145.00 zone was now set up as possible...
EUR/USD has stretched the rally into the opening days of Q3 trade but at this point, the pair is overbought from both daily and weekly charts. On the weekly, RSI is nearing the 75 level and the last time the indicator was that high was back in January of 2018, just ahead of an almost 2,000 pip sell-off that ran for the next year and change.
Overbought doesn't...
GBP/JPY carves a series of lower highs and lows after failing to test the December high (198.96), and a close below the 195.70 (61.8% Fibonacci extension) to 196.60 (23.6% Fibonacci extension) region may push GBP/JPY back towards the June low (192.73).
Failure to defend the 192.40 (50% Fibonacci extension) to 193.50 (38.2% Fibonacci extension) zone may lead to a...
It's been a painful week and a half for the USD.
Around the June FOMC meeting a hopeful bounce had built as the Fed sounded a bit less-dovish. While inflation remains below their expectations the labor market had held up relatively well, and with the threat of possible inflation from tariffs they didn't seem to be in any hurry to cut rates.
But then last week...
Gold (XAU/USD) has rebounded sharply from its rising trendline support and 50-day SMA (around $3,221), suggesting that the broader bullish trend remains intact despite recent consolidation below the $3,430 resistance.
The uptrend from the December 2024 lows continues to hold, anchored by a sequence of higher lows and a clear ascending trendline. The recent dip...
AUD/USD has extended its steady climb and is now challenging the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level (0.6558) from the July–October 2023 decline. The pair is trading within a rising channel structure and has cleared both the 50-day (0.6457) and 200-day (0.6422) SMAs, confirming a medium-term bullish shift.
Price action remains constructive, with higher lows and...
EUR/USD has punched through the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level (1.1744) of the July 2023–October 2023 decline, signaling strong bullish continuation. The breakout above the recent swing high near 1.1576 confirms the uptrend is gaining traction, supported by rising moving averages.
The 50-day SMA has crossed well above the 200-day SMA, maintaining a strong...
Gold is threatening a break of the yearly uptrend with Friday’s decline clearing the monthly range low. The focus into the start of the month is on technical support at the 5/29 swing low / May low-day close (LDC) 3240/45.
A break / close below this threshold would be needed to suggest a more significant correction is underway towards the 38.2% retracement of the...
Sterling marked an outside weekly-reversal through slope resistance last week with the rally trading just below resistance into the close of the month at the 2022 swing high at 1.3749. Look for support at the June high at 1.3633 IF price is heading higher on this stretch with a breach / close higher exposing the 61.8% extension of the 2022 advance at 1.4003....
As the week comes to a close, gold is on track for a decline of more than 1.5% during the latest trading session. So far, the bearish bias remains firmly in place in the movements of the precious metal, as demand for safe-haven assets continues to fade, mainly due to the ceasefire agreement in the Middle East conflict, which has helped restore market confidence....
It's been a strong first-half of the year for EUR/USD.
As we came into 2025 it seemed a story of doom and gloom for the Euro, and calls for parity were practically everywhere. But the pair found support in January, held that support in February - and then broke out in a big way in March.
As we wind down Q2 that breakout remains in-play and EUR/USD is pushing...
The June range is preserved heading into the close of the month with a massive outside-weekly reversal taking Aussie back into key resistance on Friday. Note that momentum is approaching the 60-level for the first time this year and a break higher alongside a breach above 6550 could fuel a substantial rally here- watch the weekly close.
Initial support rests...
Breaking its February peak, the S&P 500 has joined the Nasdaq 100 in hitting a new record high this week. The latest gains came on the back of a sharp de-escalation in the Middle East and mounting pressure on the Fed to cut rates.
They question is whether it will kick on from here or we go back lower given that trade uncertainty is still unresolved. Indeed,...
