Market analysis from OANDA
The Japanese yen has edged higher on Friday. In the North American session, USD/JPY is trading at 144.57, up 0.16% on the day. Tokyo Core CPI surprised on the downside in June, falling to 3.1% y/y. This was down sharply from the 3.6% gain in May and below the market estimate of 3.3%. This was the the first slowdown in Tokyo core inflation since February. The...
NZDJPY - 24h expiry The primary trend remains bullish. The selloff has posted an exhaustion count on the intraday chart. Preferred trade is to buy on dips. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels. Bespoke support is located at 87.30. We look to Buy at 87.30 (stop at 87.10) Our profit targets will be 88.00 and 88.20 Resistance: 87.80...
The Japanese yen has posted strong gains on Thursday. In the North American session, USD/JPY is trading at 144.14, down 0.55% on the day. Earlier, USD/JPY fell as low as 143.75, its lowest level since June 13. Tokyo Core CPI, a leading indicator of nationwide inflation trends, will be released early Thursday. Tokyo Core CPI hit 3.6% in May, its highest level in...
EURAUD - 24h expiry The primary trend remains bullish. Short term RSI is moving lower. Preferred trade is to buy on dips. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels. Bespoke support is located at 1.7840. We look to Buy at 1.7840 (stop at 1.7805) Our profit targets will be 1.7980 and 1.8000 Resistance: 1.7920 / 1.7990 / 1.8020 Support:...
The Australian dollar is showing limited movement on Wednesday. In the European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6495, up 0.08% on the day. Australia's inflation rate headed lower in May. Headline CPI rose 2.1%, after gains of 2.4% in the previous three months. This was below the market estimate of 2.3%. Monthly, CPI eased to 0.4%, driven by lower petrol and...
NIK225 - 24h expiry Short term RSI has turned positive. Further upside is expected. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels. A move through 38750 will confirm the bullish momentum. The measured move target is 39500. We look to Buy at 38500 (stop at 38200) Our profit targets will be 39250 and 39500 Resistance: 39000 / 39250 /...
The Australian dollar is up sharply on Tuesday. In the North American session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6504, up 0.70% on the day. Investors' risk appetite is higher today after Israel and Iran agreed to a ceasefire in their 12-day war. The markets have reacted favorably to lower oil prices as fears that Iran would close the Straits of Hormuz, which would have...
NZDUSD - 24h expiry Price action looks to be forming a top. Further downside is expected. Risk/Reward is ample to call a sell from current levels. A move through 0.5910 will confirm the bearish momentum. The measured move target is 0.5875. We look to Sell at 0.5975 (stop at 0.6005) Our profit targets will be 0.5900 and 0.5875 Resistance: 0.5950 / 0.5960...
The Japanese yen has started the week with sharp losses. In the European session, USD/JPY has jumped 1.2% on the day and is trading at 147.82. The yen has fallen to five-week lows against the US dollar. The fallout from the US attack on Iranian nuclear facilities over the weekend is being felt in the currency markets. The Japanese yen, traditionally a safe-haven...
The British pound has gained ground for a second straight day. In the European session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.3496, up 0.22% on the day. UK retail sales took a tumble in May, falling 2.7% m/m. This followed an upwardly revised 1.3% increase in April and was much worse than the market estimate of -0.5%. This marked the steepest decline since December 2023 and...
ASX200 - 24h expiry Short term bias has turned negative. A shooting star has been posted on the weekly charts. Bearish divergence is expected to cap gains. Previous resistance located at 8550. 50 4hour EMA is at 8528. We look to Sell at 8529 (stop at 8581) Our profit targets will be 8375 and 8355 Resistance: 8543 / 8574 / 8594 Support: 8476 / 8400 /...
The British pound is showing limited movement for a second straight day. In the European session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.3435, up 0.18% on the day. The Bank of England didn't have any surprises up its sleeve as it held rates at 4.25%. This follows a quarter-point cut at last month's meeting. The MPC vote indicated that six members voted to hold while three voted...
EURAUD - 24h expiry The primary trend remains bullish. The selloff is close to an exhaustion count on the daily chart. Preferred trade is to buy on dips. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels. Bespoke support is located at 1.7620. We look to Buy at 1.7620 (stop at 1.7585) Our profit targets will be 1.7760 and 1.7790 Resistance:...
The British pound has stabilized on Wednesday. In the European session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.3551, up 0.28% on the day. The US dollar showed broad strength on Tuesday and GBP/USD declined 1.05% and fell to a three-week low. UK inflation for May edged lower to 3.4% y/y, down from 3.5% in April and matching the market estimate. The driver behind the deceleration...
The New Zealand dollar has posted gains on Wednesday. In the North American session, NZD/USD is trading at 0.6042, up 0.45% on the day. The New Zealand dollar sustained sharp losses a day earlier, declining 0.75%. The New Zealand economy is in recession and the markets are bracing for a contraction in first-quarter GDP of 0.8%. The economy declined in Q4 2024 by...
ASX200 - 24h expiry Price action looks to be forming a top. A shooting star has been posted on the weekly charts. Bearish divergence is expected to cap gains. Previous resistance located at 8550. Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible. We look to Sell at 8549 (stop at 8601) Our profit targets...
NZDUSD - 24h expiry There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end. Although we remain bullish overall, a correction is possible with plenty of room to move lower without impacting the trend higher. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels. A move through 0.6085 will confirm the bullish momentum. The measured move...
EURAUD - 24h expiry Price action looks to be forming a top. Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible. Preferred trade is to sell into rallies. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels. Bespoke resistance is located at 1.7805. We look to Sell at 1.7805 (stop at 1.7840) Our...