Market analysis from OANDA
The euro has stabilized on Friday. In the European session, EUR/USD is currently trading at 1.0296, up 0.3% on the day. The euro fell as much as 1.2% a day earlier and fell below the 1.03 line for the first time since Nov. 2022. The eurozone economy wasn't exactly on fire in 2024. The Ukraine-Russia war led to increases in gas and oil prices, millions of war...
AUDUSD - 24h expiry Broken out of the channel formation to the downside. Trades at the lowest level in 26-months. Buying posted in Asia. Bespoke resistance is located at 0.6246. The previous swing high is located at 0.6246. We look to Sell at 0.6246 (stop at 0.6276) Our profit targets will be 0.6166 and 0.6146 Resistance: 0.6246 / 0.6271 /...
As the global markets reopen have the New Years' Day, Japanese markets are closed for a holiday. It's a very light economic calendar today, with no Japanese releases and only one US tier event - unemployment claims. In the European session, USD/JPY is currently trading at 157.12, down 0.12% on the day. We can expect a quiet day for the yen. December was...
USDCHF - 24h expiry Intraday dips continue to attract buyers and there is no clear indication that this sequence for trading is coming to an end. Our short term bias remains positive. There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end. Offers ample risk/reward to buy at the market. 20 4hour EMA is at 0.9000. We look to Buy at 0.9001 (stop...
The Japanese yen is showing little movement on Christmas Day. Japanese markets are open but with most global markets closed for the holiday, the currency markets will be very quiet today. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 157.29, up 0.08% on the day. Japanese inflation indicators have been heading higher and the upswing was repeated on Wednesday as...
The Japanese yen is showing limited movement on Tuesday. In the North American session, USD/JPY is trading at 157.33, up 0.11% on the day at the time of writing. The yen is having a dreadful time as it continues to lose ground against the strong US dollar. Since Oct. 1, the yen has plunged 9.5% and the yen's woes could force the Bank of Japan to intervene on the...
The Australian dollar has posted losses on Monday. Early in the North American session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6227, down 0.31% at the time of writing. It's a very light calendar week, with the Christmas holiday just around the corner. The Reserve Bank of Australia releases the minutes of this month's meeting on Tuesday, which is the sole Australian event this...
The Canadian dollar is showing limited movement on Friday. In the European session, USD/CAD is trading at 1.4384, down 0.11% at the time of writing. On Thursday, the Canadian dollar fell to its lowest level since March, touching 1.4435. Canada retail sales have risen for four consecutive months and the trend is expected to continue today, with a market estimate...
NZDUSD - 24h expiry Price action looks to be forming a bottom. A Doji style candle has been posted from the base. A higher correction is expected. The bias is still for lower levels and we look for any gains to be limited. Preferred trade is to sell into rallies. We look to Sell at 0.5704 (stop at 0.5736) Our profit targets will be 0.5623 and 0.5520...
The Japanese yen continues its rapid descent and is sharply lower on Wednesday. In the North American session, USD/JPY is trading at 156.82, up 1.3% on the day. Earlier, the yen weakened to 157.14, its lowest level against the US dollar since July 22. The Bank of Japan didn't have any surprises up its sleeve on Thursday as it maintained the benchmark interest...
CHN50 - 24h expiry Indecisive price action has resulted in sideways congestion on the intraday chart. Buying pressure from 13255 resulted in prices rejecting the dip. The current move higher is expected to continue. Preferred trade is to sell into rallies. Further downside is expected although we prefer to sell into rallies close to the 13705 level. We look...
The New Zealand dollar has declined sharply on Wednesday. In the North American session, NZD/USD is trading at 0.5685, down 1.2% on the day. The New Zealand dollar has been in freefall, plunging 11.6% since Oct. 1. New Zealand's economy is expected to contract in the third quarter by 0.4% q/q, after a 0.2% decline in Q2. If the economy contracted for...
NZDUSD - 24h expiry Price action has continued to trend strongly lower and has stalled at the previous support near 0.5750. Price action looks to be forming a bottom. We expect a reversal in this move. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels. A move through 0.5775 will confirm the bullish momentum. We look to Buy at 0.5750 (stop at...
The Canadian dollar continues to lose ground. In the North American session, USD/CAD is trading at 1.4315, up 0.48% at the time of writing. The Canadian dollar has declined 2.2% in December and is trading at its lowest level since mid-March. Canada's inflation eased to 1.9% in November, down from 2% in October and shy of the market expectations of 2%. However,...
The British pound has moved higher on Monday, after declining 1% last week. In the European session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.2747, up 0.30% on the day. The UK Services PMI rose to 51.4 in December, up from 50.8 in November, which was a 13-month low. This beat the market estimate of 51.0, but points to weak business activity as demand for UK exports has been weak...
The Swiss franc is down on Thursday following the Swiss National Bank rate announcement. In the North American session, USD/CHF is trading at 0.8880, up 0.43% 80on the day at the time of writing. Today's Swiss National Bank meeting was live, with the market uncertain as whether the SNB would cut rates by 25 or 50 basis points. In the end, the central bank opted...
Gold - 24h expiry There is no indication that the rally is coming to an end. Our short term bias remains positive. 5 positive daily performances in succession. Price action continues to trade around significant highs. We look for gains to be extended today. A break of the recent high at 2728.5 should result in a further move higher. We look to Buy a break of...
NZDUSD - 24h expiry There is no indication that the selloff is coming to an end. Although we remain bearish overall, a correction is possible without impacting the trend lower. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels. A move through 0.5775 will confirm the bearish momentum. The measured move target is 0.5750. We look to Sell at 0.5820...