FRA40 - 24h expiry
There is no indication that the rally is coming to an end.
Although we remain bullish overall, a correction is possible with plenty of room to move lower without impacting the trend higher.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
A move through 8250 will confirm the bullish momentum.
The measured move target is 8300....
AU200AUD - 24h expiry
The correction higher is assessed as being complete.
We expect a reversal in this move.
Risk//Reward would be good to call a sell from current levels.
A move through 7725 will confirm the bearish momentum.
The measured move target is 7625.
We look to Sell at 7750 (stop at 7790)
Our profit targets will be 7650 and 7625
Resistance:...
GBPAUD - 24h expiry
Continued upward momentum from 1.9380 resulted in the pair posting net daily gains yesterday.
A Fibonacci confluence area is located at 1.9100.
Selling spikes offers good risk/reward.
Bespoke resistance is located at 1.9537.
There is scope for mild buying at the open but gains should be limited.
Intraday signals are far from strong.
We...
The Japanese yen has taken a tumble on Tuesday. In the North American session, USD/JPY is trading at 150.67, up 1.02%.
The Bank of Japan hiked interest rates for the first time since 2007 at today’s meeting and also abolished the yield control curve to target interest rate at specific levels. There was a strong possibility that the BoJ might wait until April to...
GBPUSD - 24h expiry
Previous resistance at 1.2700 now becomes support.
Offers ample risk/reward to buy at the market.
Daily signals are mildly bullish.
Bullish divergence is expected to support prices.
Early pessimism is likely to lead to losses although extended attempts lower are expected to fail.
We look to Buy at 1.2700 (stop at 1.2666)
Our profit...
NZDJPY - 24h expiry
Indecisive price action has resulted in sideways congestion on the intraday chart.
RSI (relative strength indicator) is flat and reading close to 50 (mid-point) highlighting the fact that we are non- trending.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels.
A move through 90.60 will confirm the bearish momentum.
The measured...
The Australian dollar is showing little movement on Monday. In the North American session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6655, down 0.07%.
The Reserve Bank of Australia wraps up a two-day meeting on Tuesday and is widely expected to maintain the cash rate at 4.35%. The RBA last raised rates in November 2023 and rates have likely peaked.
There isn’t much suspense ahead...
FRA40 - 24h expiry
There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end.
Although we remain bullish overall, a correction is possible with plenty of room to move lower without impacting the trend higher.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
A move through 8200 will confirm the bullish momentum.
The measured move target...
The euro is steady on Friday, after sustaining sharp losses a day earlier due to the US inflation report. In the North American session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.0893, up 0.09%.
The European Central Bank maintained the deposit rate at 4.0% for a fourth straight time at last week’s meeting. It looks like rates have peaked but the ECB has been reluctant to signal...
NZDJPY - 24h expiry
The correction higher is assessed as being complete.
Price action has continued to trend strongly higher and has stalled at the previous resistance near 91.15.
We expect a reversal in this move.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels.
A move through 90.90 will confirm the bearish momentum.
The measured move target is...
The New Zealand dollar has lost ground on Thursday. In the North American session, NZD/USD is trading at 0.6136, down 0.33%. On Friday, New Zealand releases the Manufacturing PMI.
It was a busy day in the US, and this writer expected that retail sales would be the highlight of the day. In the end, it was the Producer Price Index which stole the show and gave the...
XAUUSD - 24h expiry
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
A lower correction is expected.
The primary trend remains bullish.
We look to buy dips.
Previous support located at 2150.56.
We look to Buy at 2153.50 (stop at 2141.50)
Our profit targets will be 2183.50 and 2189.50
Resistance:...
NZDUSD - 24h expiry
There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end.
The correction lower is assessed as being complete.
RSI (relative strength indicator) is flat and reading close to 50 (mid-point) highlighting the fact that we are non- trending.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
A move through 0.6170 will...
The Australian dollar remains close to the 0.66 line, where it has been for most of the week. In the North American session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6620, up 0.21%.
The business sector is not feeling very confident about the near-term outlook of the Australian economy. The NAB Business Confidence index dipped to zero in February, down from one in January but...
EURJPY - 24h expiry
Short term bias has turned negative.
The 200 day moving average should provide resistance at 161.35.
This is negative for sentiment and the downtrend has potential to return.
We look to sell rallies.
Further downside is expected although we prefer to sell into rallies close to the 161.65 level.
We look to Sell at 161.80 (stop at 162.30)...
The Japanese yen has looked sharp lately but is considerably lower on Tuesday. In the North American session, USD/JPY is trading at 147.75, up 0.55%. The yen has rallied for five straight days, gaining 2.4% during that time.
The US inflation rate crept higher in February. Headline CPI climbed 3.2% y/y, up from 3.1% in January and above the market estimate of...
EURCHF - 24h expiry
Setbacks should be limited to yesterday's low.
Our short term bias remains positive.
The bullish engulfing candle on the 4 hour chart the positive for sentiment.
The dip was bought into but, the rally has also stalled.
We look to buy dips.
50 4hour EMA is at 0.9583.
We look to Buy at 0.9583 (stop at 0.9561)
Our profit targets will be...
The British pound has started the trading week in negative territory. In the North American session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.2807, down 0.39%. The pound has posted six straight winning days and climbed 1.56% last week against the US dollar.
The UK releases the employment report on Tuesday. The labor market has remained resilient even with the steep rise in...
