Market analysis from OANDA
EURNZD - 24h expiry Offers ample risk/reward to buy at the market. Buying posted close to the previous low of 1.8911. 1.8911 has been pivotal. A Morning Doji Star formation has been posted at the low. Price action continued to range between key support & resistance (1.9000 - 1.9250) and we expect this to continue. Daily signals are mildly bullish. We look...
The euro has posted gains on Friday. In the European session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.1325, up 0.37% on the day. Today's gains follow a three-day slide. US nonfarm payrolls came in at 177 thousand, much stronger than the market estimate of 130 thousand. Eurozone inflation for April was a surprise on the upside. Headline CPI remained steady at 2.2% y/y, edging...
ASX200 - 24h expiry Our short term bias remains positive. Intraday dips continue to attract buyers and there is no clear indication that this sequence for trading is coming to an end. Dip buying offers good risk/reward. 20 4hour EMA is at 8086. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels. We look to Buy at 8090 (stop at 7995) Our profit...
The Japanese yen continues to lose ground and is sharply lower on Thursday. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 144.36, up 0.92% on the day. Earlier, the yen weakened to 144.74, its weakest level since April 10. There were no surprises from the Bank of Japan, which maintained its key interest rate at 0.5% in a unanimous vote. The BoJ has signaled that...
The euro is calm on Wednesday. In the North American session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.1334, down 0.45% on the day. Germany's inflation rate dropped to 2.1% y/y in April, down from 2.2% in March but above the market estimate of 2.0%. This was the lowest level in seven months, largely driven by lower energy prices. The more significant story was that core CPI,...
The euro is calm on Wednesday. In the North American session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.1334, down 0.45% on the day. Germany's inflation rate dropped to 2.1% y/y in April, down from 2.2% in March but above the market estimate of 2.0%. This was the lowest level in seven months, largely driven by lower energy prices. The more significant story was that core CPI,...
The Australian dollar has been showing strong movement this week but is calm on Wednesday. In the European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6391, up 0.14% on the day. Australia released the CPI report for the first quarter. The Australian dollar didn't show much reaction, but the data could point to another rate cut from the Reserve Bank of Australia. Headline...
NZDJPY - 24h expiry The primary trend remains bearish. The rally is close to a correction count on the daily chart. We look for a temporary move higher. Preferred trade is to sell into rallies. Bespoke resistance is located at 84.95. We look to Sell at 84.95 (stop at 85.25) Our profit targets will be 83.75 and 83.50 Resistance: 85.00 / 85.50 /...
The Canadian dollar is showing limited movement on Monday. In the European session, USD/CAD is trading at 1.3868, up 0.10% on the day. There are no economic releases out of the US or Canada today. It's Election Day in Canada. Prime Minister Mark Carney, who has only been in office since March, is favored to win the election. Carney's Liberal Party was badly...
The British pound has edged lower on Friday. In the European session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.3214, down 0.17% on the day. UK retail sales were a ray of sunshine in March. Monthly, retail sales rose 0.4%, beating the market estimate of -0.4% but below the revised 0.7% increase in February. Clothing sales showed strong growth as shoppers took advantage of the...
NZDUSD - 24h expiry There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end. Although we remain bullish overall, a correction is possible with plenty of room to move lower without impacting the trend higher. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels. A move through 0.6000 will confirm the bullish momentum. The measured move...
EURAUD - 24h expiry The RSI is trending lower. Price action looks to be forming a top. Preferred trade is to sell into rallies. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels. Bespoke resistance is located at 1.7915. We look to Sell at 1.7915 (stop at 1.8000) Our profit targets will be 1.7660 and 1.7620 Resistance: 1.7890 / 1.7980 /...
The British pound dropped as much as 0.7% earlier today and is under pressure. In the North American session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.3265, down 0.45% on the day. The pound has taken advantage of broad US dollar weakness recently, rising 3% in the month of April. On Tuesday, the pound climbed as high as 1.3423, its highest level since September 2024. UK PMIs...
NZDJPY - 24h expiry The primary trend remains bearish. The rally is close to a correction count on the daily chart. We look for a temporary move higher. Preferred trade is to sell into rallies. Bespoke resistance is located at 84.90. We look to Sell at 84.90 (stop at 85.55) Our profit targets will be 82.30 and 82.00 Resistance: 84.75 / 85.50 /...
The Japanese yen has rallied for a third straight day. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 140.38, down 0.33% on the day. The yen has climbed 1.3% since Thursday, as the US dollar is under pressure against the major currencies. BoJ Core CPI, a key inflation indicator, remained at 2.2% for a third consecutive month in March, shy of the forecast of 2.4%....
NZDUSD - 24h expiry There is no indication that the rally is coming to an end. Although we remain bullish overall, a correction is possible with plenty of room to move lower without impacting the trend higher. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels. A move through 0.6025 will confirm the bullish momentum. The measured move target is...
The Japanese yen came flying out of the gates on Monday. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 141.00, down 0.79%. Earlier the yen strengthened to 140.47, its strongest level since Sep. 2024. The US dollar has posted losses against the major currencies on Monday, including against the yen. Investors gave the US dollar a thumbs down after President...
The euro is showing little movement on Friday. In the European session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.1369, up 0.09% on the day. The ECB lowered its deposit facility rate on Thursday by a quarter-point, bring the rate to 2.25%. This marked the seventh rate cut since the ECB started its easing cycle in June 2024 and interest rates are now at their lowest since December...