GER40 - Intraday 4 negative daily performances in succession. Short term bias has turned negative. Preferred trade is to sell into rallies. Yesterday's Marabuzo is located at 19161. Expect trading to remain mixed and volatile. 20 4hour EMA is at 19235. We look to Sell at 19215 (stop at 19315) Our profit targets will be 18965 and 18905 Resistance: 19100...
The euro is flat on Thursday after three straight winning days. In the European session, EUR/USD is unchanged on the day, trading at 1.0854. Eurozone inflation rose to 2% y/y in October, up from 1.7% in September and above the market estimate of 1.9%. This was the fastest increase since April. The main drivers of the inflation increase were services and food...
CHN50 - 24h expiry Indecisive price action has resulted in sideways congestion on the intraday chart. Pivot support is at 13000. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels. A move through 13500 will confirm the bullish momentum. The measured move target is 14250. We look to Buy at 13000 (stop at 12680) Our profit targets will be 13800 and...
The Japanese yen continues to have a quiet week. In the North American session, USD/JPY is trading at 153.25, at the time of writing, down 0.07% on the day. The Bank of Japan concludes its two-day meeting on Thursday and is widely expected to maintain policy settings, including its benchmark rate at 0.25%. The shock result from Sunday’s general election, which...
EURGBP - 24h expiry The overnight rally has been sold into and there is scope for further bearish pressure going into this morning. Intraday rallies continue to attract sellers and there is no clear indication that this sequence for trading is coming to an end. Preferred trade is to sell into rallies. Selling spikes offers good risk/reward. 20 1day EMA is at...
AUDUSD - 24h expiry Although the bears are in control, the stalling negative momentum indicates a turnaround is possible. We are trading at oversold extremes. Bullish divergence is expected to support prices. Previous support at 0.6585 now becomes resistance. A mild correction has been posted from yesterdays low, this is seen as a retest of the breakout...
NZDUSD - 24h expiry There is no clear indication that the downward move is coming to an end. Although we remain bearish overall, a correction is possible without impacting the trend lower. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels. A move through 0.5975 will confirm the bearish momentum. The measured move target is 0.5925. We look to Sell...
The Japanese yen is lower on Monday. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 152.63, up 0.22% at the time of writing. The yen weakened as far as 153.88 but has pared most of the losses. The new trading week has barely begun but the markets are busy digesting the drama out of Tokyo. The snap parliamentary election over the weekend was a disaster for new...
The Japanese yen is showing limited movement on Friday. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 151.94, up 0.09%. Tokyo Core CPI, a leading indicator of inflation trends in Japan, fell to 1.8% y/y in October, down from 2% in September and just above the market estimate of 1.7%. This marked a second straight deceleration and was the lowest level since...
ASX200 - 24h expiry Indecisive price action has resulted in sideways congestion on the intraday chart. Momentum is flat, highlighting the lack of clear direction. Further downside is expected. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels. A move through 8200 will confirm the bearish momentum. We look to Sell at 8240 (stop at 8280) Our...
US500 - 24h expiry Broken out of the wedge to the downside. The formation has a measured move target of 5773. An overnight positive theme in Equities has led to a higher open this morning. Expect trading to remain mixed and volatile. The sequence for trading is lower lows and highs. We look to Sell at 5847 (stop at 5865) Our profit targets will be 5802 and...
XAUUSD - 24h expiry Price action resulted in a new all-time high at 2753. Daily signals for sentiment are at overbought extremes. Intraday dips continue to attract buyers and there is no clear indication that this sequence for trading is coming to an end. 20 1hour EMA is at 2743. There is no indication that the rally is coming to an end. We look to Buy at...
The Japanese yen has posted sharp losses on Wednesday. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 152.67, up 1.06% at the time of writing. The yen is down 2.1% this week and has plunged 6.3% in October. The International Monetary Fund slashed its 2024 growth forecast for Japan to just 0.3%, down sharply from the 0.7% forecast in June. This is the lowest...
NZDUSD - 24h expiry There is no clear indication that the downward move is coming to an end. Although we remain bearish overall, a correction is possible without impacting the trend lower. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels. A move through 0.6025 will confirm the bearish momentum. The measured move target is 0.5075. We look to Sell...
The euro is showing limited movement on Tuesday. In the North American session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.0806, down 0.07% on the day. Earlier, the euro fell as low as 1.0800, its lowest level since Aug. 2. The European Central Bank has been aggressive in its rate-cutting cycle and has trimmed 75 basis points this year. The key interest rate has been brought down...
NIK225 - 24h expiry Price action looks to be forming a bottom. A Doji style candle has been posted from the base. This is positive for sentiment and the uptrend has potential to return. We look for a temporary move lower. Further upside is expected although we prefer to set longs at our bespoke support levels at 38870, resulting in improved risk/reward. We...
The euro has edged lower on Monday. In the North American session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.0838, down 0.24% on the day. The European Central Bank lowered its key interest rate last week by a 25 basis points to 3.25%, the first back-to-back rate cuts since December 2011. The rate cut was the third time the ECB has lowered rates this year, as it has been aggressive...
SPX500USD - 24H EXPIRY Price action continues to trade around the all-time highs. Posted mild net daily gains but all trading confined to the previous days range, an indecisive Inside Day. The 261.8% Fibonacci extension is located at 5901 from 5682 to 5766. Due to an Ending Wedge formation, we continue to treat extended gains with caution. Reverse trend line...