Market analysis from OANDA
The Swiss franc is down for a second straight trading day. In the European session, USD/CHF is trading at 0.8980, up 0.38% on the day. The Swiss economy slowed to 0.2% q/q in the fourth quarter of 2024, down from 0.4% in Q3 and in line with expectations. This was the weakest expansion since Q2 2023. Construction weakened in the fourth quarter but manufacturing...
USDCHF - 24h expiry Broken out of the channel formation to the downside. Our short term bias remains negative. Previous support level of 0.8965 broken. Preferred trade is to sell into rallies. 50 4hour EMA is at 0.8987. We look to Sell at 0.8987 (stop at 0.9012) Our profit targets will be 0.8915 and 0.8905 Resistance: 0.8974 / 0.9004 / 0.9020 Support:...
NIK225 - 24h expiry Daily signals for sentiment are at oversold extremes. This is positive for short term sentiment and we look to set longs at good risk/reward levels for a further correction higher. Preferred trade is to buy on dips. The hourly chart technicals suggests further downside before the uptrend returns. We therefore, prefer to fade into the dip...
The Japanese yen is slightly lower on Wednesday. In the North American session, USD/JPY is trading at 149.25, up 0.16% on the day. What is the best performing G-10 currency against the US dollar this year? Surprisingly, the Japanese yen is the winner, with gains of about 5% against the greenback. This is a remarkable turnaround from 2024, when the yen plunged...
The Australian dollar is steady after two straight losing trading days. In the North American session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6343, down 0.09% on the day. Australia releases the consumer price index for January on Wednesday. Inflation has been moving higher, as CPI accelerated in December to 2.5% y/y, up from 2.3% and its highest level since August. The market...
NZDUSD - 24h expiry Trend line support is located at 0.5725. RSI (relative strength indicator) is flat and reading close to 50 (mid-point) highlighting the fact that we are non- trending. We expect a reversal in this move. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels. A move through 0.5775 will confirm the bullish momentum. We look to Buy at...
EURJPY - 24h expiry Posted a Bullish Hammer Bottom on the 4 hour chart. Bullish divergence can be seen on the 4 hour chart (the chart makes a lower low while the oscillator makes a higher low), often a signal of exhausted bearish momentum, or at least a correction higher. This is positive for short term sentiment and we look to set longs at good risk/reward...
The New Zealand dollar is showing little movement on Monday. NZD/USD is trading at 0.5745 in the European session, up 0.07% on the day. The week started on a high note in New Zealand, as retail sales jumped 0.9% q/q in the fourth quarter of 2024, after a revised flat reading in the third quarter and above the market estimate of 0.6%. This was the strongest gain...
The British pound has steadied on Friday against the US Dollar after climbing 0.6% a day earlier. GBP/USD is trading at 1.2655 in the European session, down 0.1% on the day. Retail sales in the UK sparkled in January, climbing 1.7% m/m. The reading crushed the market estimate of 0.3% and bounced back from an upwardly revised -0.6% in December. This was the...
DE30EUR - 24h expiry Yesterday's Marabuzo is located at 22635. An Evening Doji Star formation has been posted at the high. Posted a Double Top formation. We look for a temporary move higher. Daily signals for sentiment are at overbought extremes. We look to Sell at 22635 (stop at 22805) Our profit targets will be 22205 and 22105 Resistance: 22552 / 22700...
The New Zealand dollar has posted gains on Wednesday. NZD/USD is trading at 0.5721 in the European session, up 0.31% on the day. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand slashed the cash rate by 50 basis points, bringing the cash rate to 3.75%. The markets had priced in the cut at 90% so there was no surprise at the jumbo cut. This lowered the cash rate to its lowest...
CHN50 - 24h expiry Trend line support is located at 13265. RSI (relative strength indicator) is flat and reading close to 50 (mid-point) highlighting the fact that we are non- trending. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels. A move through 13350 will confirm the bullish momentum. The measured move target is 13500. We look to Buy at...
The New Zealand dollar is sharply lower on Tuesday. NZD/USD is trading at 0.5700 in the North American session, down 0.62% on the day. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand meets on Wednesday for the first time this year. The RBNZ lowered rates by a half-point at the last meeting on Nov. 27 and the markets have priced in another half-point cut on Wednesday at 90%,...
USDCAD - 24h expiry There is no clear indication that the downward move is coming to an end. A higher correction is expected. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels. A move through 1.4175 will confirm the bearish momentum. The measured move target is 1.4125. We look to Sell at 1.4235 (stop at 1.4285) Our profit targets will be 1.4135...
AU200AUD - 24h expiry Trend line support is located at 8500. Further upside is expected although we prefer to buy into dips close to the 8500 level. A move through 8550 will confirm the bullish momentum. The measured move target is 8675. Short term RSI has turned positive. We look to Buy at 8500 (stop at 8440) Our profit targets will be 8660 and 8675...
The Japanese yen continues to take investors and traders on a roller-coaster ride. After climbing 1.2% on Wednesday, USD/JPY gave almost all of those gains on Thursday, declining 1.05%. The yen has taken a breather today and is trading at 152.63 in the European session, down 0.19% on the day. Producer prices in Japan climbed 4.2% y/y in January, up from an...
The British pound has edged higher on Thursday. GBP/USD is trading at 1.2460, up 0.15% on the day. The UK economy ended 2024 on a high note, as GDP rose 0.4% m/m in December. This was the fastest pace of growth in nine months and blew past the market estimate of 01.%. The surprise gain was driven by increases in services and manufacturing activity. Annually, the...
USDCHF - 24h expiry Levels close to the 78.6% pullback level of 0.9151 found sellers. We expect a move lower in a corrective sequence, targeting Fibonacci retracement levels. Buying continued from the 50% pullback level of 0.9083. We look to buy dips. Offers ample risk/reward to buy at the market. We look to Buy at 0.9083 (stop at 0.9058) Our profit...