Trading markets should be simple right? Establish the direction of a price trend, take a position in the direction of that trend and enjoy the ride! Of course, in practice, we all know trading is never that easy. All traders go through similar anxieties regarding whether the current level is the correct one to trade. Perhaps one of the hardest challenges if you...
Gold remains at the center of attention as one of the most attractive safe-haven assets, extending its bullish rally for the second consecutive session and trading near its all-time high of around $2,940 per ounce. This performance is particularly noteworthy considering it has occurred despite the rebound in the U.S. dollar and the rise in Treasury yields, with...
Last week AUDUSD rallied 2% from opening levels around 0.6230 on Monday to a Friday close at 0.6355, as tariff fatigue saw FX traders reduce dollar longs across the board into the weekend. At the start of this new trading week, the direction of AUDUSD is likely to be determined by local events, with the RBA convening early on Tuesday morning (0330 GMT) to...
The week’s closing session unfolded under the expectation of potential “reciprocal tariffs” from the United States, which ultimately will not be implemented immediately. This decision eased initial market jitters and led to a weaker dollar, as fears of an escalating trade war subsided—for now. The U.S. outlook was also shaped by weaker-than-expected consumption...
The U.S. dollar faces another challenging session, with the DXY index dropping 0.4% in the end-of-week session and posting a weekly decline of 1.4%, bringing the greenback to levels unseen since early December. This performance is largely attributed to disappointing January retail sales data and trade tensions stemming from the potential implementation of more...
Copper prices have resumed an upward trajectory, surpassing the $4.7 per pound mark on Thursday, a level unseen since mid-2024. This growth stems from multiple factors, primarily rising uncertainty over whether the Trump administration could expand existing tariffs on steel and aluminum to other raw materials and metals, including copper. So far, copper has...
UK preliminary GDP for Q4 released this morning surprisingly rose 0.1% versus a decline of 0.1% that was expected, meaning the UK economy registered some growth at the end of 2024. While that may not seem like much it comes at an interesting time for GBPUSD, which has briefly traded back to 1 week highs above 1.2500, and brings into focus an interesting...
Oil prices experienced a significant decline after three consecutive days of gains. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) recorded its biggest drop since January, falling approximately 2.5%, partially affected by the latest report from the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA). The report revealed an unexpected increase in U.S. crude inventories of 4.1 million...
Since the high of 6101 on December 6th, the US 500 index has entered a period of choppy sideways price activity, reflecting a 2 month timeline when buyers and sellers have been in balance. This range has faked out those traders looking for a fresh series of all time highs or for moves back down to lower levels which were last seen in the middle of 2024. This...
After a period of gains, copper prices are experiencing a bearish session on Tuesday, marking their first decline after six consecutive positive trading days. In recent weeks, copper, often referred to as "Dr. Copper" for its predictive ability regarding global economic health, has demonstrated a remarkable bullish trend, reaching its highest level in 8 months....
Gold prices have risen steadily to start 2025 supported by central bank buying and its popularity as a safe haven hedge against general market uncertainty created by President Trump’s pursuit of aggressive tariffs on key trading partners, increased government spending, a slowdown in global growth and geopolitical risks. All of this led to Gold touching a new...
After a choppy start to the week for USDJPY and JPY Crosses, such as EURJPY, with traders bombarded with headlines related to trade tariffs and retaliatory measures, the back end of the week has seen some USDJPY downside emerge as general long dollar positions are scaled back, and economic data from Japan has provided support for the view that the country’s...
The recent monetary policy decision by the Bank of Mexico (Banxico), which reduced the interest rate by 50 basis points to 9.5%, marks a significant moment in the current cycle of monetary normalization. Although the market consensus already anticipated a cut, the 50-basis-point magnitude reflects the majority of the Governing Board members’ confidence that...
In a global environment still marked by uncertainty, the Mexican peso is showing relative stability ahead of the imminent monetary policy decision by the Banco de México (Banxico). The expectation of a 50 basis points cut in the interest rate this month reflects a strategic calculation: to seize an opportunity to continue stimulating the economy while the relative...
The Mexican peso remains in a delicate position, struggling with a series of internal and external factors that exert pressure on its value. Despite a weaker U.S. dollar midweek, the local currency has faced notable downward pressures, reflecting the complex economic landscape that Mexico is navigating. Global trade uncertainty continues to be a key factor. While...
The week started with a gap higher on the Monday open to 75.99 in response to President Trump’s weekend announcement of trade tariffs on Canada and Mexico. This included import tariffs of 10% on energy from the two countries, impacting around 4.5 million barrels per day of oil supplies into the US. The rally quickly reversed in the afternoon, as headlines...
In an unexpected turn, U.S. job openings resumed their downward trend in December 2024, according to the JOLTS report published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). This decline, following two months of improvement, raises questions about the strength of the U.S. labor market and its potential impact on the upcoming January nonfarm payrolls (NFP)...
It’s been a busy start to the week for AUDUSD after President Trump followed through over the weekend with his promise to impose trade tariffs of 25% on Canada and Mexico, and 10% on China, who is Australia’s biggest trading partner, starting on Tuesday February 4th. AUDUSD was already under pressure after last Wednesday’s CPI reading showed Australian core...