Positive correlation between global money supply (M2) and risky assets on the stock market
The equity and crypto-currency markets represent the category of so-called risky assets on the stock market, i.e. financial assets with a high expectation of gains associated with a proportionally high risk of loss.
Correlation studies show that risky assets on the stock...
In the TradingView columns dated April 14 and April 22, we offered two analyses of the bitcoin price with a bullish anticipation. Since then, the market has moved in an upward direction, and our technical and fundamental views seem to have been confirmed.
I therefore invite you to take the time to reread our two previous analyses of the bitcoin price, which are...
$1.15, a technical target that was expected
Since the beginning of the year, the euro dollar has established itself as the leader of the foreign exchange market (Forex). Up by more than 10%, it has outperformed all other major Forex pairs, and this upward movement has been built up in stages from a technical analysis point of view. The major chart target of...
Despite a new peak in global liquidity measured by the M2 monetary aggregate, the Bitcoin price has yet to trigger a real rally. There are several reasons for this lag.
First of all, from a technical analysis point of view, the underlying trend remains bullish above US$70,000
This is the dominant technical factor for the bitcoin price, and the current bullish...
The price of US crude oil broke a major technical support in April
The price of oil gave a technical red alert at the beginning of April after breaking a major long-term support, all against a complicated fundamental backdrop: the so-called reciprocal tariff trade war, geopolitical tensions and internal divisions within OPEC+.
The immediate consequence: a sharp...
New all-time record for the GOLD
Gold has broken through $3300 per ounce, with a market capitalization now of $22,000 billion, i.e. above China's GDP ($18,000 billion) and close to that of the USA ($27,700 billion). It is now the best-performing major asset since the start of the year among all asset classes, with an increase of over 20%. This massive uptrend...
Fall of the US dollar: institutional investors were already selling in February
The US dollar (DXY) is officially the weakest currency on the floating foreign exchange market (Forex) since the beginning of the year. Down over 8% against all the world's major currencies, this vertical downtrend had been anticipated by technical analysis as early as January. This...
A global stock market crash under pressure from the trade war
Since its all-time high last February, the S&P 500 has lost 20%, dragging all global equity markets into a general sell-off. This downward movement concerns not only the United States, but also the MSCI World index, confirming that a global aversion to risk has taken place. And unlike other periods of...
