Market analysis from Tickmill
On the daily chart we have a beautiful candle-swallowing - an obvious bearish signal. Since we do not have levels in proshom, on which we can glue our candles, we take the psychological level at 4000 as a benchmark. But it is this psychological level that has not been knocked back (not returned under it) and our absorption may be a common trap. Of course, you can...
EUR/USD formed an absorption on the four-hour chart, which rested against the support zone, limited by a strong level of 1.1714, and a local level of 1.1689. Risk and buy a pair at current prices. Oleg Svirgun
Stock markets develop a bullish momentum received on Monday amid a suspension of threat exchange between North Korea and the US, but to say that the degree of tension has dropped to an insignificant level is too early to say. North Korean leader Kim Jong-un decided to take a break from the escalation of the conflict, postponing the launch of the missiles, but at...
World markets kicked off the week with relief, as the degree of tension on the Korean peninsula eased after statements by high-ranking US military officials that a nuclear war with North Korea is not foreseen in the short term. This also reduced the likelihood of the exchange of missile strikes, the main potential cause of the escalation of the military conflict,...
The currency pair is significantly oversold - so it's worth buying a pair. To avoid the risks of buying on the current, set a limit order to break through the level. Buy Stop 0.7640, SL=0.7500, TP=0.8300
First of all, short overview on consumer prices in the US. The figures on producer prices, wholesale inventories released this week, clearly indicated a slowdown in consumer demand in the US, as we discussed in yesterday's note. July inflation showed that our fears were justified. The monthly change was 0.1%, with a forecast of 0.2%, which, with the clouds...
July US labor market update was an excellent reason to induce a correction on the dollar, suppressing upside momentum on EURUSD. Bringing some psychological relief to greenback bidders, the report however left the fundamental picture relatively untouched, since the Phillips curve in the American economy, as the data for the second quarter showed, is far from the...
The second week of August features by a rather sluggish start as the economic calendar is relatively boring and most of the sensitive data have already found their way to the market. So the first marked miss in the eurozone's macroeconomic statistics happened in the German manufacturing sector - output fell by 1.1% in June after rising for five consecutive...
Relatively quiet period for greenback has stretched to the end of this week as the main stain on the currency has been completely priced in the market and now it is waiting for the fresh portion of gloom (or positive news, what is perhaps even more preferable). In the news field, the report on activity in the non-manufacturing sector from ISM became a failure....
So greenback short players finally reached for the level of 92.50, staging breakthrough of 1.19 on EURUSD. In our view these moves are a signs of dollar bottoming out as investors adjust their portfolio with fine-entered greenback longs as the updates on US economy is slowly but surely beginning to improve. The US consumer pleased us with increased expenditures,...
Consumer spending in the US, a key indicator of inflationary pressures increased in June faster than expected, but could not provide significant boost to the dollar, which renewed slump on Wednesday. Manufacturing sector health also didn't give rise to disappointment, but seems there is nothing to inspire Dollar bulls at the moment . Dollar index moves near the...
The oil market nudged up in Asian session extending gains to London trading, as Saudi Arabia's promise to cut exports by 1M barrels provides significant sentiment boost, trying to make out the way to the top under the yoke of growing supplies of American producers. Meanwhile Saudi Arabia attempts to exercise complex approach to show traders that supplies are...
The British pound maintains its defenses anticipating positive rhetoric of Mark Carney at a meeting of the Bank of England on August 3. Fears of unrestrained growth in inflation due to the devaluation of the pound were refuted after data on consumer prices for June showed the first slowdown in a few months. Inflation is above the target level of 2%, significantly...
FOMC yesterday meeting became an acknowledgment that the pace of policy normalization planned by the regulator creates visible risks of cooling the economy. After two rounds of tightening since the beginning of this year, consumer inflation in the US has been steadily declining for four consecutive months - from 2.7% in February to 1.6% in June. It does not at all...
The common currency has trimmed down losses against the dollar after a weak start on Tuesday, as investors continue to get rid of dollar positions while waiting for the cautious tone of Fed Chairman Janet Yellen at tomorrow's meeting. Interest rate futures rule out possibility of the rate increase on Wednesday meeting, as consumer inflation, according to official...
Oil prices break into green area expecting that the OPEC meeting will not be spent in vain and the participants will find ways to pare their production capacities The weekly report of Baker Hughes showed that the drilling activity rested on some ceiling, as the growth of active drilling rigs ceased. Last week, their number fell from 765 to 764 units. After US oil...
So, key points on the main economic events of this week were set forth in the analytical notes of its first half. Today, we can recap the meeting of the Japanese Central Bank and provide some additional clues on the ECB meeting with regard to the today’s data. BoJ announced that they’re not yet going to close valve of the cash pipe, continuing to pump the economy...
On the weekly chart, we have a horizontal level of 87.90, which the price has "seen" more than once. That's from him and try to buy. Buy Limit 87.90, SL=87.10, TP=93.20.