Market analysis from Tickmill
The Federal Reserve left interest rate unchanged at the meeting on Wednesday, but surprisingly saw December hike appropriate despite persisting slack on inflation front. As expected, the Fed set a green light to balance sheet cut, amounted 4.2 trillion. dollars, most of which has been amassed after the 2008 mortgage crisis. According to new economic forecasts, 11...
Falling business sentiments in Asia. Business confidence in the Asian region declined in the third quarter, Reuters reported, as concerns about security and long-term stability in the region grew despite business activity growth. China, India and South Korea led deterioration in the sentiments mainly because of tough capital controls and North Korea...
Asian and European markets have come under pressure before the Fed meeting as investors attempt to cut risk exposure in anticipation of market turbulence. The projections for the decision remain highly ambiguous, since on the one hand, the Fed's desire to continue normalizing rates, but one the another key indicator of the health of the economy - inflation is...
September FED meeting US fixed income and stock markets are preparing to lose cushion as Fed may announce the onset of balance-sheet cut at the meeting on Wednesday. Termination of reinvestment policy and a smooth shedding of securities means a complete switching off of the "rescue mode” which has been regulator’s state for about a decade. The market...
On a monthly chart, the price pushed away from point 3 of the rising channel and on the weekly chart was closed by takeover. Also the price rebounded from the horizontal support 3.52688. There are two options. The first is buying when the market opens. The second is buying from the middle of the takeover: Buy Limit 3.5500, SL = 3.4900, TP1 = 3.7000, TP2 =...
By bitcoin we pushed away from the level of 3600.00, having formed a reversal candlestick pattern "skylight in the clouds". We also pushed off from the 50% Fibo level, which was stretched over the last upward movement (1830-4979.9). These are direct signals for the purchase of crypto-currencies, even from current prices. Oleg Svirgun
According to the British currency, we came very close to the point 3 of the descending channel, which is formed on the weekly timeframe, and also there passes level 1.3680 - this is the punched horizontal from the monthly timeframe. Wait for the candle signals with subsequent sale of sterling, we will look at the daily chart. Oleg Svirgun
According to the British currency, we came very close to the point 3 of the descending channel, which is formed on the weekly timeframe, and also there passes level 1.3680 - this is the punched horizontal from the monthly timeframe. Wait for the candle signals with subsequent sale of sterling, we will look at the daily chart. Oleg Svirgun
Chinese data Weak August for the Chinese economy jolted stock markets pointing to addiction of economic growth to credit stimulus. High real estate prices kept high rates of investment in the sector, while industry and retail sales and fixed investment undershoot. Meeting of the Bank of England As noted in the previous analytical note, the growing gap...
The British pound, on the daily timeframe, pushed off the horizontal level of 1.3265 and is trying to form a veil of dark clouds (although for the complete formation of candle patterns one must wait for the closing of the day). It is also worth looking at the four-hour timeframe. If today the price closes below the level of 1.3220 and draws a veil of dark clouds,...
OPEC market projections boost optimism The monthly bulletin became a promising statement by the cartel about the imminent achievement of a balance in the oil market. Released on Tuesday, the report indicated that both supply and demand forces will work towards reaching the equilibrium, and a significant contribution to the bright prospects was made by the OPEC +...
Set to take risk The reassessment of possible damage from Hurricane Irma in a positive direction and the project signed by Trump on providing aid to the victims extended the period of optimism in the US stock exchanges. The S & P 500 index seems to have fallen into dependence on any positive news, updating records. The dollar remains in limbo, sellers made a...
Dollar is back on growth track. But how long? The past week has been the worst period for greenback in the past two months, but Monday trading came in a positive tone due to the flattened risks associated with Hurricane Irma and the launch of North Korea's ballistic missiles. The growth of new short positions is unlikely until Friday's inflation data, while a...
Surprising detonation of H bomb by North Korea on Sunday halted a short period of market ease, heaping up investors in the safe heavens and leading to dollar rout. The impact of nuclear blasts as a factor of uncertainty can not be overstated, as the DPRK steps up its nuclear program despite the trade blockade and harsh criticism of the United States, Japan and...
The German manufacturing sector is losing ground, showed a factory orders report published on Wednesday. The key figure suddenly fell by 0.7% in July, after rising by 0.9% in June. Weak domestic demand was the main cause of slowdown, while orders of the outside world remained stable. A silver lining in all of this was the note that orders activity reached the...
On the ruble, we still formed a candle signal - absorption, which rested against a broken downstream and an upward channel. Here, at the opening of the market, we will try to buy a pair. Buy 57.30, SL=56.60, TP=58.90. Oleg Svirgun
On gold, we rested the falling star in the upper line of the day's rising channel. The deal is against the trend, but we are waiting for correction to the level of 1295. Oleg Svirgun
Crystal clear on outlook, vague on measures Despite rumors about overly strength of the common currency, Draghi did not involved himself in talking down its growth. There was a twisted cue though that recent euro pickup forced to cut inflation forecasts - from 1.5% to 1.2% in 2018. Draghi’s out-of-the-box take on basic concern led to investors dismissing...