AAL โ€“ 30-Min Short Trade Setup !

168
๐Ÿ“‰ ๐Ÿšจ
๐Ÿ”น Stock: American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL)
๐Ÿ”น Timeframe: 30-Min Chart
๐Ÿ”น Setup Type: Bearish Breakdown Trade

๐Ÿ“Œ Trade Plan (Short Position):
๐Ÿš€ Entry Below: $10.58 (Breakdown Confirmation)
โ›” Stop-Loss: $11.17 (Invalidation Level)

๐ŸŽฏ Profit Targets:
๐Ÿ“Œ TP1: $9.93 (First Support Level)
๐Ÿ“Œ TP2: $9.31 (Extended Bearish Move)

๐Ÿ“Š Risk-Reward Ratio (R/R):
๐Ÿ“ˆ Risk (SL Distance): $11.17 - $10.58 = $0.59 per share
๐Ÿ“‰ Reward to TP1: $10.58 - $9.93 = $0.65 (1:1.1 R/R)
๐Ÿ“‰ Reward to TP2: $10.58 - $9.31 = $1.27 (1:2.1 R/R)

๐Ÿ” Technical Analysis & Strategy:
๐Ÿ“Œ Downtrend Structure: Price continuously rejecting the descending trendline.
๐Ÿ“Œ Bearish Breakdown Confirmation: Price failing to hold above $10.58.
๐Ÿ“Œ Volume Confirmation Needed: Increased selling pressure for strong momentum.
๐Ÿ“Œ Momentum Shift Expected: Breakdown could accelerate the fall to $9.93, then $9.31.

๐Ÿ“Š Key Levels:
๐Ÿ”ด Resistance: $11.17 (Stop-Loss / Invalidation Zone)
๐ŸŸก Breakdown Level: $10.58 (Entry Zone)
โšช First Target: $9.93 (TP1 โ€“ First Support Zone)
๐ŸŸข Final Target: $9.31 (TP2 โ€“ Extended Move)

๐ŸŽฏ Risk Management & Trade Execution:
๐Ÿ“Š Confirm Volume โ€“ Ensure strong selling pressure before entry.
๐Ÿ“‰ Trailing Stop Strategy: Move SL to $10.58 (breakeven) after TP1 ($9.93).
๐Ÿ’ฐ Profit Booking Plan:
โœ” Take 50% profit at $9.93, let the rest ride to $9.31.
โœ” Adjust SL to breakeven ($10.58) after TP1 is hit.

โš ๏ธ Fake Breakdown Risk:
โŒ If price reclaims $10.58, exit early to minimize losses.
โŒ Wait for strong bearish candle close below $10.58 before entering aggressively.

๐Ÿš€ Final Thoughts:
โœ” Bearish Setup Forming โ€“ Breakdown signals further downside.
โœ” Momentum Shift Expected โ€“ Selling pressure gaining strength.
โœ” High R/R Trade โ€“ 1:2.1 R/R to TP2 makes this a quality short setup.

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