Apple’s 
AAPL chart right now? Honestly, it’s a mess. It’s one of those setups where you can’t confidently say much with conviction, but one thing feels clear to me: it should go lower before it gets better.
Zooming out to the 3-day timeframe, you can spot something interesting: the downtrend from 2022 to 2023 looks almost identical to the one we’ve seen from July 2023 to April 2024 — same structure, same slow bleed, and almost the exact same duration. That kind of symmetry doesn’t happen by accident.
After that, we had a massive rally from April/May 2024, but now we’re already seeing a sharp retracement — down over 35%. My take? We probably need one more leg lower to really shake things out before Apple makes a meaningful move higher, maybe toward $250–$260.
To get there, I think we still need to retest the $160–$150 zone. If we break below that and head toward $120, then we’re in real trouble structurally — that would shift the whole outlook.
Yes, the recent bounce from the VWAP level was clean, and it looked strong — but I wouldn’t rule out one more flush before we get the real recovery. Apple is in no-man’s-land right now, and until we hit key levels or reclaim broken structure, it’s caution over confidence.
AAPL chart right now? Honestly, it’s a mess. It’s one of those setups where you can’t confidently say much with conviction, but one thing feels clear to me: it should go lower before it gets better.Zooming out to the 3-day timeframe, you can spot something interesting: the downtrend from 2022 to 2023 looks almost identical to the one we’ve seen from July 2023 to April 2024 — same structure, same slow bleed, and almost the exact same duration. That kind of symmetry doesn’t happen by accident.
After that, we had a massive rally from April/May 2024, but now we’re already seeing a sharp retracement — down over 35%. My take? We probably need one more leg lower to really shake things out before Apple makes a meaningful move higher, maybe toward $250–$260.
To get there, I think we still need to retest the $160–$150 zone. If we break below that and head toward $120, then we’re in real trouble structurally — that would shift the whole outlook.
Yes, the recent bounce from the VWAP level was clean, and it looked strong — but I wouldn’t rule out one more flush before we get the real recovery. Apple is in no-man’s-land right now, and until we hit key levels or reclaim broken structure, it’s caution over confidence.
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🏆 FREE Telegram - t.me/stromm_trading
⚡ Join me when you're ready – over 550 are already there.
⚡ Join me when you're ready – over 550 are already there.
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.