Incoming 50% collapse to $70 for AirBnb
“Airbnb a tech company and its founder and CEO Brian Chesky isn't shy about that.”
source: hotelsmag.com
It’s an online letting agent!
A $86 billion one at that. Feels like WeWork Déjà vu all all over again. A landlord with a cool name and a website now becomes a tech company.
AirBnb was always on my list for accommodation searches when travelling. Today a hotel is almost always my first choice, even if that is for a stay of up to 10 days.
What changed?
1) Affordability. I draw the line when the cost of a mediocre “key-code” to enter AirBnb accommodation matches that of a 4 or 5 star hotel. I don’t know what hosts are thinking. One possibility is servicing overstretched mortgage costs.
2) Gentrification. Affordable housing has been swallowed up by landlords as they exchange from longterm to short term holiday lets in the pursuit of more money. The landlords can’t be blamed when interest rates have been so low, but the effect on city centres is evident. One city centre I visited a few months ago, the whole townhouse was AirBnb’d divided into several units. Depressing.
I think we’re now on the verge of a swell of those Landlords selling up as it becomes clearer with each month there are easier ways to make money whilst not holding onto an overpriced asset.
If I’m correct, the selling pressure will ultimately impact the business model, charging overpricd fees. Speaking of fees..
3) Cleaning fees. Don’t get me started.
Imagine checking out of a hotel “And your cleaning fee...”
The technical analysis
On the above weekly chart:
1) Price action and RSI support breakouts have printed.
2) Broken market structure. This is a perfect technical example of broken market structure confirming resistance from the last higher low. A trend reversal is now confirmed.
3) The Bear flag has confirmed. Past support confirms as strong rejection. Price action is forecast to strike $70
Is it possible price action continues to print upwards and onwards? Sure.
Is it probable? No.
Ww
source: hotelsmag.com
It’s an online letting agent!
A $86 billion one at that. Feels like WeWork Déjà vu all all over again. A landlord with a cool name and a website now becomes a tech company.
AirBnb was always on my list for accommodation searches when travelling. Today a hotel is almost always my first choice, even if that is for a stay of up to 10 days.
What changed?
1) Affordability. I draw the line when the cost of a mediocre “key-code” to enter AirBnb accommodation matches that of a 4 or 5 star hotel. I don’t know what hosts are thinking. One possibility is servicing overstretched mortgage costs.
2) Gentrification. Affordable housing has been swallowed up by landlords as they exchange from longterm to short term holiday lets in the pursuit of more money. The landlords can’t be blamed when interest rates have been so low, but the effect on city centres is evident. One city centre I visited a few months ago, the whole townhouse was AirBnb’d divided into several units. Depressing.
I think we’re now on the verge of a swell of those Landlords selling up as it becomes clearer with each month there are easier ways to make money whilst not holding onto an overpriced asset.
If I’m correct, the selling pressure will ultimately impact the business model, charging overpricd fees. Speaking of fees..
3) Cleaning fees. Don’t get me started.
Imagine checking out of a hotel “And your cleaning fee...”
The technical analysis
On the above weekly chart:
1) Price action and RSI support breakouts have printed.
2) Broken market structure. This is a perfect technical example of broken market structure confirming resistance from the last higher low. A trend reversal is now confirmed.
3) The Bear flag has confirmed. Past support confirms as strong rejection. Price action is forecast to strike $70
Is it possible price action continues to print upwards and onwards? Sure.
Is it probable? No.
Ww
Trade active
At resistance, don't let the positive earnings distract, an exit from 160 is perfect.Note
The resistance was a little higher than expected, $82 area is support, until then.
BTC
bc1q2eckdzh0q8vsd7swcc8et6ze7s99khhxyl7zwy
Weblink: patreon.com/withoutworries
Allow 3-6 months on ideas. Not investment advice. DYOR
bc1q2eckdzh0q8vsd7swcc8et6ze7s99khhxyl7zwy
Weblink: patreon.com/withoutworries
Allow 3-6 months on ideas. Not investment advice. DYOR
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
BTC
bc1q2eckdzh0q8vsd7swcc8et6ze7s99khhxyl7zwy
Weblink: patreon.com/withoutworries
Allow 3-6 months on ideas. Not investment advice. DYOR
bc1q2eckdzh0q8vsd7swcc8et6ze7s99khhxyl7zwy
Weblink: patreon.com/withoutworries
Allow 3-6 months on ideas. Not investment advice. DYOR
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.