Adobe Systems Incorporated (ADBE) is a large diversified software company that operates worldwide. The company deals in digital media and cloud services that allow customers to access the latest versions of its creative products. The stock had been a big winner over the last couple of years, more than doubling since the start of 2020. However, a recent disappointment in earnings erased the last few months of gains. With earnings estimates starting to fall, investors are now concerned that the bull run might be over.
The guidance forced analysts to drop earnings estimates for all time frames. For the next quarter, we have seen just a 1% drop over the last month, falling from $3.37 to $3.34.
But the stock bounce back after the false breakout and step again above $550.00 per share and above 50-Fibonacci retracement level drawn from March 2021. The stock gapped lower after EPS and then took out the 200-day MA and continued to lows not seen since June. If the bears want to push this stock lower, they must take that $550 level out and could push to the $450-500 area.
If the bulls want to gain some traction back, they need to take the $593.00 and 61.8 Fibonacci retracement level and then fill the gap at $600. Our statistic software notes a bullish pattern with a peak return of 4% in 1 month and a probability of 72%. Until then, the sellers will stick around.
Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carry a high-risk level. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, needs, and trading signals. Therefore, it cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
The guidance forced analysts to drop earnings estimates for all time frames. For the next quarter, we have seen just a 1% drop over the last month, falling from $3.37 to $3.34.
But the stock bounce back after the false breakout and step again above $550.00 per share and above 50-Fibonacci retracement level drawn from March 2021. The stock gapped lower after EPS and then took out the 200-day MA and continued to lows not seen since June. If the bears want to push this stock lower, they must take that $550 level out and could push to the $450-500 area.
If the bulls want to gain some traction back, they need to take the $593.00 and 61.8 Fibonacci retracement level and then fill the gap at $600. Our statistic software notes a bullish pattern with a peak return of 4% in 1 month and a probability of 72%. Until then, the sellers will stick around.
Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carry a high-risk level. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, needs, and trading signals. Therefore, it cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.