This trade does have down potential as any trade does.
AEO has just gotten past the horrible 4th quarter sales from last year, and consumer buying power has risen. I think the stock has over sold, and if you look at June 11th, that looks closely like a modified morning star (bullish).
Now- the sad truth is that the very next day the stock went back down on June 12th, and this makes not a true morning star. On June 13 +14 stock prices rose up beyond the opening price of the 12th and I jumped in.
Looking at a target between $18.50 and $20.00 as solid gains. Yes, that is a large area, but if you notice at around $19.75 is where the shake out really happens, making that a great short gains target and over $2 of profit.
Stop /Loss has been placed at $16.59, the low of the price on June 12th to reduce any horrible loss, and roughly a $1 loss.
Let me know what you think.
I am not a financial advisor, I just like to share my thoughts and trades with the community.