Albemarle Corp - ALB end of correction
Albemarle Corp has been in an Elliott steep ABC correction all the way down from ATH 335 and might have bottomed at 106 forming a cypher like pattern with:
AB = .5 of XA,
C extended 1.18 of XA &
CD retraced .798 of XC, while this is a minor deviation from a classic cypher .786 (due to a wild wick of a red candle on a day when they announced shareholder dilution) What I don’t really like is ATH C point which should be at least 1.272 of XA.
Would consider it to be a correction, and not a major downtrend coz out of ABC wave set, Wc has retraced not more than 1.618 of Wa i.e. length is 186 vs 126, hence – it’s a correction and per cypher pattern it should end as the stock observed several minor swings from 106-110 lows to resistance levels of 130-140.
110-112 recently was a demand zone being an upper band of earlier demand zone 90-112 (Sep’20 – Oct’20 candles)
To prove the cypher end of CD retracement I looked more broadly at ALB monthly chart. Over decades history it retraced twice: Apr’09 at fibo .854 and Mar’20 (pandemic) .764 meaning historically the stock gives up 75-85 per cent of preceding growth
As of March 24 point D also stands at 80 per cent retracement
Tactically it is trading within a downward channel. I would consider long once it breaks the resistance line (the upper green line) with a target first somewhere 194
AB = .5 of XA,
C extended 1.18 of XA &
CD retraced .798 of XC, while this is a minor deviation from a classic cypher .786 (due to a wild wick of a red candle on a day when they announced shareholder dilution) What I don’t really like is ATH C point which should be at least 1.272 of XA.
Would consider it to be a correction, and not a major downtrend coz out of ABC wave set, Wc has retraced not more than 1.618 of Wa i.e. length is 186 vs 126, hence – it’s a correction and per cypher pattern it should end as the stock observed several minor swings from 106-110 lows to resistance levels of 130-140.
110-112 recently was a demand zone being an upper band of earlier demand zone 90-112 (Sep’20 – Oct’20 candles)
To prove the cypher end of CD retracement I looked more broadly at ALB monthly chart. Over decades history it retraced twice: Apr’09 at fibo .854 and Mar’20 (pandemic) .764 meaning historically the stock gives up 75-85 per cent of preceding growth
As of March 24 point D also stands at 80 per cent retracement
Tactically it is trading within a downward channel. I would consider long once it breaks the resistance line (the upper green line) with a target first somewhere 194
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