AMC Entertainment
Short

AMC Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-05-07

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AMC Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-05-07)

Model Summaries • Grok/xAI Report Technicals: Short-term bearish (price below 10-day EMA) but daily MACD just crossed bullish. RSI neutral. Bollinger Bands neutral. Supports at $2.68/$2.53; resistance at $2.76/$3.00. Sentiment: Elevated VIX; mixed news (short-term weakness, long-term growth). Max pain at $2.50 implies downward pressure. View: Moderately Bullish. Recommends buying the $2.50 call at $0.26 with 50% profit target and 50% stop-loss. Confidence 65%.

• Claude/Anthropic Report

Technicals: Bullish on M5 EMAs, neutral daily EMAs. RSI rising, daily MACD positive. Resistance at $2.72, support at $2.68/$2.50. Sentiment: High VIX, negative earnings priced in, max pain at $2.50. View: Moderately Bullish. Recommends buying the $2.50 call at $0.26. Profit targets at $0.39/$0.52; stop-loss at $0.18. Confidence 65%.

• Llama/Meta Report

Technicals: Mixed—short-term bullish but daily bearish bias. RSI neutral. Bollinger neutral. MACD slightly bearish on daily. Sentiment: Rising VIX, weak fundamentals, max pain at $2.50. View: Slightly Bearish. Recommends buying the $2.50 put (premium $0.05), 50% profit target, stop if price > $2.80. Confidence 65%.

• Gemini/Google Report

Technicals: M5 bullish but M5 MACD just crossed bearish; daily MACD bullish but price below middle BB. Resistance at $2.72/$2.76; support $2.68/$2.57/$2.50. Sentiment: Elevated VIX, negative earnings, max pain at $2.50. View: Moderately Bearish. Recommends buying the $3.00 put at $0.35, targeting $0.50–$0.60, stop-loss at $0.20. Confidence 65%.

• DeepSeek Report

Technicals: Bearish daily EMAs, mixed momentum. VIX rising, max pain at $2.50. View: Moderately Bearish. Recommends buying the $2.50 put at $0.26 (incorrect premium data), target $0.52, stop-loss $0.13. Confidence 65%. Agreement and Disagreement • Agreement: Elevated VIX and negative Q1 news. Key option levels: Max pain at $2.50 is pivotal. All assign ~65% confidence to their view.

• Disagreement:

Directional bias: two models bullish vs. three bearish. Strike selection: Bulls favor $2.50 calls; bears split between $2.50 puts and $3.00 puts. Premiums cited: conflicting premium data for the $2.50 put (actual $0.05 vs. model‐used $0.26). Conclusion and Trade Recommendation • Market Direction Consensus: Moderately Bearish (3 of 5 models lean bearish; sentiment and max pain weigh more heavily in this near‐term weekly). • Recommended Trade: Buy the AMC May 9, 2025 weekly $3.00 put at $0.35. – Strategy: Naked single-leg put – Expiration: Weekly (2025-05-09) – Premium: $0.35 (within $0.30–$0.60) – Entry Timing: Market open – Size: 1 contract – Profit Target: $0.50 (≈43% gain) – Stop-Loss: $0.20 (≈43% loss) – Confidence Level: 65% • Key Risks and Considerations: Short-term bullish counter‐momentum (daily MACD positive). Sharp squeezes possible in a low‐liquidity, high‐volatility issue. Theta decay if the stock stalls above $2.80. Rapid VIX swings could inflate/deflate premium unpredictably.

TRADE_DETAILS (JSON Format)

{ "instrument": "AMC", "direction": "put", "strike": 3.0, "expiry": "2025-05-09", "confidence": 0.65, "profit_target": 0.50, "stop_loss": 0.20, "size": 1, "entry_price": 0.35, "entry_timing": "open", "signal_publish_time": "2025-05-08 08:30:00 UTC-04:00" }

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