2024/12/18
Daily 4XSetUps - 2025 Could Be Another Good Year In AMZN
“the price action of $200 was broken upwards at the end of 2024!
will the bulls be able to defend this $200 over the course of 2025?”
Rising prices in New York helped the Eurozone leading index
EURO50 make price gains on Wednesday. Today all eyes internationally are on the US Federal Reserve Bank, from which traders and investors are expecting a third interest rate cut this year after the stock market closes here. The price action was therefore relatively sideways. The FLCE1! ultimately rose by +0.30% to 4,957.28 points. Outside the euro area, however, the picture was even more subdued: the day before the Bank of England's interest rate decision, the British 
UK100 closed just +0.05% at 8,199.11 points. However, the Swiss 
SMI fell significantly by -0.87% to 11,638.91 points. Price losses in stocks such as 
GIVN , 
SR9 and/or 
NESN had a negative impact there. Our long UBS 4XSetUp also felt again over the course of the day. The SIX:UBSG closed today -1.24% at 27.82 CHF.An interest rate cut in the USA is considered a given, but the way forward is unclear. So it remains to be seen whether the FED will continue to cut interest rates at this rate in 2025? Or whether the pace of interest rate cuts should be slowed down? Because there is widespread agreement that interest rates will go down by -0.25%! But the slight increase in inflation in the last 3 months? And/Or, at least in my thoughts, also the PPI +3.0% recently? Is this just a three-month flash in the pan when it comes to inflation in an overarching slowdown in US inflation? Or not? That's what makes me a little bit fearful about the bullish price action in the stock market! Anyway, as a result, traders and/or investors will likely listen to Powell's every word afterward; let alone bond traders. Today it also came into focus that the major Italian bank
UCG continues to make advances to the German XETR:CBK . The Italians now have access to a total of around 28% of the 
DAX group's shares. What caused traders and/or investors as well as investors to send the price action of both banks higher today with increases of up to +1.5%.
“Because most people are more emotional than logical, they tend to overreact to short-term results; they give up and sell low when times are bad and buy too high when times are good. I find this is just as true for relationships as it is for investments—wise people stick with sound fundamentals through the ups and downs, while flighty people react emotionally to how things feel, jumping into things when they’re hot and abandoning them when they’re not.”
Ray Dalio
$230.07 : 2024/12/05 - last price action
$215.90 : 2024/11/14 - Temporary Price Action High
$201.20 : 2024/07/08 - 1st Big Annual Year 2024 High
$197.02 : 2024/11/01 - Intraday Low After QR Release
$195.75 : 2024/11/21 - Temporary Price Action Low
$190.60 : 2024/10/30 - Intraday Low Before QR Release
Currently it looks in the chart as if we have dared to dig into the toilet with this long AMZN 4XSetUp, as we colloquially say here in Germany. Nevertheless, this can also happen - if you always operate with an entry price, target price, and/or only a % share of the total portfolio assets, on the financial market, with the help of CFDs. And that's what we do - I'll let you know! You decide for yourself! Anyway, let's get back to the current picture of price action, in the form of a short, to-the-point analysis. Because basically, after our price target was reached, nothing major changed in the price action.
AMZN stock was able to open with a bullish GAP on the following November 1, 2024 after the last quarterly results published on October 30, 2024. So, from a POV (Point of View) of the technical analysis, we have a solid price action base zone between $190.60 and/or even $197.02. What makes me fundamentally bullish for the year 2025 - if the price action of the AMZN share shouldn't be sent down by traders and/or investors (i.e. even below $197.02). Because in retrospect we can argue that the price action is not only above the psychologically important mark of $200, no - the market, i.e. the majority of (un)involved financial market participants, created the breakout at the end of 2024, from just over $200. What bulls hopefully confirm in 2025. And that's what this long AMZN 4XSetUp is all about. And that regardless of the fact that we already had our original price target. And now have a new entry price and/or target price.--------------------------------------------------
$275.00 : 2025/09/30 - Target Price
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$232.93 : 2025/12/16 - Entry Price
$230.12 : 2025/12/18 - last price action
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$199.00 : 2025/09/30 - Stop Price
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Have a good time
- regardless of the price action!
Aaron
“daily 4XSetUps - …” is pure information material!
By trying to give you even more information about some trading capabilities to trade and/or invest in some securities. This post is not a call to action - it only provides information. You decide (not) to decide. Even if I am writing daily 4XSetUps with concrete entry prices, target prices and/or also stop prices! It is like it is - like I said; You decide to respond to the analysis I just formulated to buy, to sell, or to do nothing! More information about my approaches to investing in something specific or just trading it, or even just describing it, can be found in the daily "Another 48h - DXY ...! Analysis Post. Where I try to track the price action in
DXY every day so that we learn something new daily.
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The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.