TL;DR Potential local bottom at $1.07, potential targets at $1.6 and $1.93
Arbitrum is still trading in its rectangle. After a recent rejection from the resistance, today it retested $1.07. If it holds, it would mark a perfect Wave 2 end (61.8% of Wave 1). In turn, according to Elliott wave theory, this would set the Wave 3 target to $1.6 or $1.93.
🎯 $1.6 is also the rectangle breakout target, and a High Volume Node (HVN), so lots of confluence there.
I see two potential strategies for a long entry:
The safe play would be to wait for a daily close above the resistance trendline, targeting W3 targets 1 and 2.
The higher risk/reward play would be entering now, with a somewhat tight SL below $1.07, targeting the rectangle resistance first, then W3 targets 1 and 2.
In both cases, watch the $1.45 area because it is a previous support and HVN.
➡️Not Financial Advice⬅️
Trade active
No major moves yet, but TD Sequential is flashing a buy setup (red 9) on the current open candle, and it has been quite reliable in the past at signaling reversals. My invalidation is still a lower low below $1.07, and the target is still $1.6.
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