Arm Holdings: Exploring the Range After Explosive Rally
Arm Holdings (ARM): Decoding the Recent Surge
The recent exponential surge in the share price of chip maker Arm underscores the fevered speculation gripping the AI sector. Arm, despite not being directly involved in AI, has become a focal point of attention due to its strategic moves in diversification, particularly in markets like automotive, and the sale of subsystem licenses for integrated chip designs.
In Q3, Arm posted impressive numbers, with a 12% surge in headline revenue, reaching $470 million. The Chinese market played a significant role, contributing to a 28% jump in revenue driven by premium smartphones featuring generative AI. The potential for increased royalty rates has further fuelled the positive outlook for Arm.
While there are concerns about Arm's high valuation, with a forward earnings multiple of 85, investor optimism persists. This confidence is anchored in Arm's aggressive growth objectives and its pivotal role in the AI and chip design industries, placing the company at the centre of speculative interest.
Playing the Range: Short-Term Traders on Alert
Arm's post-earnings exponential rally, marked by a gap above January highs and a doubling of share prices, raised eyebrows. However, recent sessions have seen the stock cool off, consolidating within a tight range. This well-defined range presents short-term traders with opportunities:
Bullish Scenario: A decisive breakout above the range, accompanied by high volume, could lead to a retest of recent trend highs.
Bearish Scenario: A decisive break below range could see prices retreat back to a short-term mean such as the 50MA – a level which is confluent with the broken January highs.
The risk/reward ratio is favourable in both scenarios, offering short-term traders’ opportunities to leverage lower timeframes like the hourly candle chart to time potential breakouts.
Arm Holdings (ARM): Daily Candle Chart
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
Arm Holdings (ARM): Hourly Candle Chart
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents.
Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 84.01% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
The recent exponential surge in the share price of chip maker Arm underscores the fevered speculation gripping the AI sector. Arm, despite not being directly involved in AI, has become a focal point of attention due to its strategic moves in diversification, particularly in markets like automotive, and the sale of subsystem licenses for integrated chip designs.
In Q3, Arm posted impressive numbers, with a 12% surge in headline revenue, reaching $470 million. The Chinese market played a significant role, contributing to a 28% jump in revenue driven by premium smartphones featuring generative AI. The potential for increased royalty rates has further fuelled the positive outlook for Arm.
While there are concerns about Arm's high valuation, with a forward earnings multiple of 85, investor optimism persists. This confidence is anchored in Arm's aggressive growth objectives and its pivotal role in the AI and chip design industries, placing the company at the centre of speculative interest.
Playing the Range: Short-Term Traders on Alert
Arm's post-earnings exponential rally, marked by a gap above January highs and a doubling of share prices, raised eyebrows. However, recent sessions have seen the stock cool off, consolidating within a tight range. This well-defined range presents short-term traders with opportunities:
Bullish Scenario: A decisive breakout above the range, accompanied by high volume, could lead to a retest of recent trend highs.
Bearish Scenario: A decisive break below range could see prices retreat back to a short-term mean such as the 50MA – a level which is confluent with the broken January highs.
The risk/reward ratio is favourable in both scenarios, offering short-term traders’ opportunities to leverage lower timeframes like the hourly candle chart to time potential breakouts.
Arm Holdings (ARM): Daily Candle Chart
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
Arm Holdings (ARM): Hourly Candle Chart
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents.
Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 84.01% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.