ASML - Downtrend & Push back

TREND
According to the current wave structure, it is in the downtrend.
Characteristically, it is used to create pull and push backs after support/resistance breakout.
So we can expect similar behavior now.
It has not formed a channel yet, but a probable channel can be estimated as on the chart.

Moving Averages
The current price is under 100-day (Turquoise) (so supports downtrend)
50-day (Orange) will most likely cross 100-day (Turquoise) from up to down (powerful indicator supporting downtrend) in two weeks, unless prices exceeds 50-day.
200-day (Blue) has just worked as a support, but the next momentum is expected to be more powerful resulting a potential breakout of 200-day support.

SUMMARY
Based on this analysis, a price action following the blue arrow is highly probable.
Chart PatternsTrend AnalysisWave Analysis

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