What’s up guys and welcome to my profile, my name is Gianni and today I’m going to analyse the AUD/CAD, trying to translate the market information with a full technical analysis on different time frames perspectives.
For a better understanding of my bearish perspective, let’s have a quick look on the monthly timeframe:
Overall the market is moving to the downside, a strong bearish impulse got a breath, closing the last month with a big red candle, sign of a good bearish pressure.
Switching to the weekly timeframe:
As you can see on the chart, the price quickly retraced back after the bearish impulse, and it is currently retesting a previous support turned now in a resistance level, that coincides with the 0.38% of Fibonacci retracement. I would expect some consolidation before a possibility to see a trend continuation.
On the daily timeframe:
The market consolidated for few months between the two key levels, breaking the support level at the beginning of December.
Back to the 4 hours timeframe:
The price reached the dynamic trendline and the resistance level, losing momentum close to this area (see the last few candles with a smaller body) Before planning my short position on this trade I will be waiting for bearish price action and a strong red momentum candle with a RRR 1:2 or greater. Potentially my SL would be above the resistance level and the take profit around the next support level, manually moving my SL on every swing high. A breakout to the upside would invalidate my trade and no action will be taken on this market.
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Trade safe and responsibly, Gianni
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