Massive Buying Opportunity: Is a Move to 0.64 Next?
Updated
This pair is shaping up to be one of my favorite trade setups: the trendline break and retest of the level/zone that broke the trendline.
Looking at the Monthly chart below, we’ve seen a significant downtrend for nearly two years that ended in February this year. At that time, I posted a buy setup, buying dips under 0.57 and targeting the 0.60 level as the first target.
This initial leg has now completed. As explained in the related post from February, after this leg, we would likely see a move back down to test the area that caused the trendline break.
This phase has now played out, and the next likely path is a dip back under 0.57, followed by the start of a new leg in the Monthly uptrend, targeting new highs and the Monthly sell zone starting at 0.63, where we’ll likely see selling interest.
Of course, we don’t just blindly enter when the price dips below 0.57. Instead, we wait for price action to give us cues that momentum is slowing down by zooming into the lower timeframes.
One of my favorite indicators for reading the slowing of momentum is the MACD indicator, specifically looking for divergence signals on the lower timeframes.
If you check the 4-hour chart below, you’ll see we are already starting to get divergence signals.
The 8-hour and 6-hour charts also show the same divergence signals, indicating that selling momentum is starting to slow down as we approach a key HTF area of interest.
What I expect next is a brief dip back under 0.57, followed by a surge higher. We may even dip a little lower towards 0.56.
I will use my TRFX indicator and patiently wait for buy signals on the 4-hour to 12-hour charts before starting to build my buying position.
The first target will be 0.605, and if this position plays out as expected, a clear move up to 0.63 is on the cards.
If you like the idea and found value, hit the boost button. Happy trading!
Looking at the Monthly chart below, we’ve seen a significant downtrend for nearly two years that ended in February this year. At that time, I posted a buy setup, buying dips under 0.57 and targeting the 0.60 level as the first target.
This initial leg has now completed. As explained in the related post from February, after this leg, we would likely see a move back down to test the area that caused the trendline break.
This phase has now played out, and the next likely path is a dip back under 0.57, followed by the start of a new leg in the Monthly uptrend, targeting new highs and the Monthly sell zone starting at 0.63, where we’ll likely see selling interest.
Of course, we don’t just blindly enter when the price dips below 0.57. Instead, we wait for price action to give us cues that momentum is slowing down by zooming into the lower timeframes.
One of my favorite indicators for reading the slowing of momentum is the MACD indicator, specifically looking for divergence signals on the lower timeframes.
If you check the 4-hour chart below, you’ll see we are already starting to get divergence signals.
The 8-hour and 6-hour charts also show the same divergence signals, indicating that selling momentum is starting to slow down as we approach a key HTF area of interest.
What I expect next is a brief dip back under 0.57, followed by a surge higher. We may even dip a little lower towards 0.56.
I will use my TRFX indicator and patiently wait for buy signals on the 4-hour to 12-hour charts before starting to build my buying position.
The first target will be 0.605, and if this position plays out as expected, a clear move up to 0.63 is on the cards.
If you like the idea and found value, hit the boost button. Happy trading!
Trade active
huge drop since last week the market moved a good bit under 0.56 actually nearly hit the low created in 2020.
The TRFX indicator give a 4hr signal yesterday giving the go ahead to enter see image belowe
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