Australian Dollar / Japanese YenEducation
HOW-TO: What happens after a completed Elliott 5 Wave sequence
In this "How To" video, we take a look at typically what happens after a completed Elliott 5 Wave sequence, using the MTP Elliott Wave Script.
First, we must stress that finding the end of an Elliott Wave 5 sequence is inherently dangerous, because a Wave 5 is the "end of a trend", so very often overruns. So, the only time we would ever consider trying to pick the end of a Wave 5 is when there are other reasons for a possible trend reversal, for example higher time frame support / resistance. This is what we demonstrated in this example, where the market was also at Daily (higher time frame) Decision Point (using the MTP DP Script), resistance. There was also divergence in the MTP Trend oscillator (not shown specifically in the video), thus showing weakness was entering the market. As such, this should really only be used by the more experienced Advanced Traders, who have more experience with Analysing the markets. Remember, no matter how good a setup "may" look at the time, markets can, and will, go in the opposite direction, so losses can and will unfold. That is why is is vital that Stops are in the market and any inevitable losses are kept small.
Having sad that, once the Wave 5 is complete (and this is the purpose of this "How-To" Video), the market then tends to retrace to the Decision Point (using the MTP DP Script), from the prior Wave 4 swing. I.e., this is the "initial target" following the completion of the Wave 5 Swing.
Then, "if" the initial DP is exceed (as in this example), the next target would then be the Decision Point (using the MTP DP Script), from the start of the 5 wave sequence. I.e. the market then retraces the whole of the prior 5 wave sequence.
I hope this has been helpful, and shown how the more experienced Traders among you could develop your own trade setup in and around this. For example, trading off the MTP coloured reversal bar (using the MTP Analysis Script), at the Wave 5 high (which is also at higher time frame DP), with an "initial target" of the DP from the prior Wave 4. We have not shown this in this video as we wanted to keep things simple and just show the "typical" tendency of what happens after a completed 5 wave sequence.
Please note: this is not a trade recommendation, you should all perform your own Analysis. Losses can and will unfold when Trading, please always use Stops and keep your losses small.
First, we must stress that finding the end of an Elliott Wave 5 sequence is inherently dangerous, because a Wave 5 is the "end of a trend", so very often overruns. So, the only time we would ever consider trying to pick the end of a Wave 5 is when there are other reasons for a possible trend reversal, for example higher time frame support / resistance. This is what we demonstrated in this example, where the market was also at Daily (higher time frame) Decision Point (using the MTP DP Script), resistance. There was also divergence in the MTP Trend oscillator (not shown specifically in the video), thus showing weakness was entering the market. As such, this should really only be used by the more experienced Advanced Traders, who have more experience with Analysing the markets. Remember, no matter how good a setup "may" look at the time, markets can, and will, go in the opposite direction, so losses can and will unfold. That is why is is vital that Stops are in the market and any inevitable losses are kept small.
Having sad that, once the Wave 5 is complete (and this is the purpose of this "How-To" Video), the market then tends to retrace to the Decision Point (using the MTP DP Script), from the prior Wave 4 swing. I.e., this is the "initial target" following the completion of the Wave 5 Swing.
Then, "if" the initial DP is exceed (as in this example), the next target would then be the Decision Point (using the MTP DP Script), from the start of the 5 wave sequence. I.e. the market then retraces the whole of the prior 5 wave sequence.
I hope this has been helpful, and shown how the more experienced Traders among you could develop your own trade setup in and around this. For example, trading off the MTP coloured reversal bar (using the MTP Analysis Script), at the Wave 5 high (which is also at higher time frame DP), with an "initial target" of the DP from the prior Wave 4. We have not shown this in this video as we wanted to keep things simple and just show the "typical" tendency of what happens after a completed 5 wave sequence.
Please note: this is not a trade recommendation, you should all perform your own Analysis. Losses can and will unfold when Trading, please always use Stops and keep your losses small.
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