Purely technical outlook.
Thesis:
Break & retest last significant market structure.
Price had a neat 12% rally stemming from news of the war.
It has since lost momentum with price retracing 50% measuring the lows on Jan 31st to the peak.
More recently, a significant support was broken and is now being retested - and it should be met as resistance.
Price is currently at an area of value, which means it can provide the best R:R for the current situation on both sides of the trade - however I'm leaning more so on the sell side.
Below are a few charts worth noting: