I have outlined my bearish case for AUD/JPY for the year in prior articles and videos, but today I want to look at a potential countertrend setup.
A bull flag is forming on the daily chart. Usually I'd prefer to see such patterns during a strong uptrend as a continuation pattern. But given we saw a false break of an elongated bullish pinbar and sharp reversal higher, I suspect there is at least one more leg higher brewing for AUD/JPY. And because this is counter trend to my core bearish bias, I am not seeking the usual flag projection target, and instead will be happy with a more conservative reward if successful.
Prices are holding above the 10-day ERMA and weekly pivot point, but bulls could also seek dips towards the high-volume node (HVN) at 95.11 or around the 98 handle.
Bulls could target the 97 handle, with a break above 97.20 brining the weekly R1 into focus just below 98.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
A bull flag is forming on the daily chart. Usually I'd prefer to see such patterns during a strong uptrend as a continuation pattern. But given we saw a false break of an elongated bullish pinbar and sharp reversal higher, I suspect there is at least one more leg higher brewing for AUD/JPY. And because this is counter trend to my core bearish bias, I am not seeking the usual flag projection target, and instead will be happy with a more conservative reward if successful.
Prices are holding above the 10-day ERMA and weekly pivot point, but bulls could also seek dips towards the high-volume node (HVN) at 95.11 or around the 98 handle.
Bulls could target the 97 handle, with a break above 97.20 brining the weekly R1 into focus just below 98.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
Trade closed: stop reached
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Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.