🔥 AUD/NZD TRADE PLAN 🔥
Date: March 28, 2025
Type: MAIN SWING TRADE – Institutional Sell Setup
📉 Market Bias: Bearish (D1 Lower High + H4 Weakness Confirmed)
🧩 Trade Type: Trend Continuation
📌 Entry Type: H4 OB Retest + Liquidity Sweep
⭐ Confidence Level: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (84%)
(Reason: Bearish structure across D1/H4, OB + FVG alignment, H4 hidden bearish divergence, liquidity sweep confirms institutional positioning)
📌 Status: Price is inside the zone – Awaiting confirmation
📍 Entry Zones:
Primary Sell Zone: 1.0985 – 1.0995
(H4 Bearish OB + minor liquidity sweep on H1)
Secondary Zone: 1.1005 – 1.1015
(H4 FVG + extended liquidity above recent high)
❗ Stop Loss: 1.1025
(Above extended liquidity + last unmitigated H4 wick)
🎯 Take Profits:
TP1: 1.0945 🥉 (Recent H1 swing low + OB reaction zone)
TP2: 1.0910 🥈 (H4 liquidity cluster)
TP3: 1.0875 🏆 (D1 structure low and liquidity zone)
✅ R:R Ratio: Approx. 1:3.6
(Accurate institutional SL/TP spacing for continuation setup)
⚠️ Confirmation Required Before Entry:
– H1 bearish engulfing or rejection wick inside the zone
– Volume spike or absorption candle
– Optional: M30 divergence or exhaustion wick
– H4 RSI Hidden Bearish Divergence (already confirmed)
📌 Reason for Entry:
✔ D1 trend clearly bearish – recent lower high in formation
✔ H4 has shown clear BOS after prior liquidity sweep
✔ Price now retesting H4 OB after sweep of internal high
✔ OB/FVG stack + liquidity inducement = high probability zone
✔ Fundamentals support bearish AUD against NZD
✔ H4 Hidden Bearish Divergence confirms trend continuation pressure
🛡️ Risk Management Reminder:
– Risk 1–2%
– SL to BE after TP1
– Partial profits at TP2
– Optional full exit at TP3 or trail aggressively
⏳ Trade Validity:
Valid for 1–3 days (H4 structure play)
❌ Invalidate if price breaks and closes above 1.1025
🌐 Fundamental & Sentiment Confluence:
✅ AUD remains under pressure – weak economic momentum & rate path
✅ NZD slightly stronger – supported by dairy exports + neutral tone
✅ Retail sentiment mixed – contrarian angle supports continuation
✅ No conflicting macro data in next 24h
📋 Final Trade Summary:
AUD/NZD remains in a bearish structure across all timeframes. We are currently in the sell zone (H4 OB + liquidity sweep). Awaiting confirmation from H1 bearish PA before triggering short. Do not enter prematurely. Plan offers high R:R and aligns with institutional bias.
🧠 Status Recap:
📌 Price is inside the zone – Wait for confirmation trigger on LTF
📌 If confirmed → Enter
📌 If no confirmation → No entry
Date: March 28, 2025
Type: MAIN SWING TRADE – Institutional Sell Setup
📉 Market Bias: Bearish (D1 Lower High + H4 Weakness Confirmed)
🧩 Trade Type: Trend Continuation
📌 Entry Type: H4 OB Retest + Liquidity Sweep
⭐ Confidence Level: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (84%)
(Reason: Bearish structure across D1/H4, OB + FVG alignment, H4 hidden bearish divergence, liquidity sweep confirms institutional positioning)
📌 Status: Price is inside the zone – Awaiting confirmation
📍 Entry Zones:
Primary Sell Zone: 1.0985 – 1.0995
(H4 Bearish OB + minor liquidity sweep on H1)
Secondary Zone: 1.1005 – 1.1015
(H4 FVG + extended liquidity above recent high)
❗ Stop Loss: 1.1025
(Above extended liquidity + last unmitigated H4 wick)
🎯 Take Profits:
TP1: 1.0945 🥉 (Recent H1 swing low + OB reaction zone)
TP2: 1.0910 🥈 (H4 liquidity cluster)
TP3: 1.0875 🏆 (D1 structure low and liquidity zone)
✅ R:R Ratio: Approx. 1:3.6
(Accurate institutional SL/TP spacing for continuation setup)
⚠️ Confirmation Required Before Entry:
– H1 bearish engulfing or rejection wick inside the zone
– Volume spike or absorption candle
– Optional: M30 divergence or exhaustion wick
– H4 RSI Hidden Bearish Divergence (already confirmed)
📌 Reason for Entry:
✔ D1 trend clearly bearish – recent lower high in formation
✔ H4 has shown clear BOS after prior liquidity sweep
✔ Price now retesting H4 OB after sweep of internal high
✔ OB/FVG stack + liquidity inducement = high probability zone
✔ Fundamentals support bearish AUD against NZD
✔ H4 Hidden Bearish Divergence confirms trend continuation pressure
🛡️ Risk Management Reminder:
– Risk 1–2%
– SL to BE after TP1
– Partial profits at TP2
– Optional full exit at TP3 or trail aggressively
⏳ Trade Validity:
Valid for 1–3 days (H4 structure play)
❌ Invalidate if price breaks and closes above 1.1025
🌐 Fundamental & Sentiment Confluence:
✅ AUD remains under pressure – weak economic momentum & rate path
✅ NZD slightly stronger – supported by dairy exports + neutral tone
✅ Retail sentiment mixed – contrarian angle supports continuation
✅ No conflicting macro data in next 24h
📋 Final Trade Summary:
AUD/NZD remains in a bearish structure across all timeframes. We are currently in the sell zone (H4 OB + liquidity sweep). Awaiting confirmation from H1 bearish PA before triggering short. Do not enter prematurely. Plan offers high R:R and aligns with institutional bias.
🧠 Status Recap:
📌 Price is inside the zone – Wait for confirmation trigger on LTF
📌 If confirmed → Enter
📌 If no confirmation → No entry
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.