AUDNZD. 09-05-24.
H4 momentum and structure is bearish. first indication of a bearish continuation.
Secondly if you can see the markings on my chart and if you understand fibonacci, you'll see that price rejected and 618 zone, from the overall low to high swing of H4 Move. We further see a bull retracement and rejection to the downside at the 382 level. Price is currently trading under these levels so the sell bias is strong. But be wary as price is currently sitting on the 786 fib zone. This zone if not invalidated could push price to make a short term bull correction to the prices levels I have marked in RED, before continuing the downtrend.
Now it's all about patience and being on the right time frame to find an entry to the downside. But remember, we must be wary of a short term bull correction which I have marked the price levels in RED.
How to know the right time frame? When the HTF retraces to ur level and closes, according to the candle close you should go to LTF and wait until price structure gives you the direction of your bias, (In this case a downtrend). If price closes bearish and lower time frame gives you a bull structure, mark the level not to break on the HTF while you wait for LTF to reach this level and invalidate the buy structure, now you have another confirmation of downtrend, and since HTF already closed Bearish, with lower time frame structure correlating and confirming this bearish move, you can be confident with your entries.
I have marked the price level in GREEN for my TP if we continue this downtrend.
Further more, if price levels in red are invalidated and price starts to form a bullish structure on h4, my target for tp in a bullish move are marked in ORANGE; as if a bull momentum starts from the 786 fib zone, according to the fibonacci rule, 786 rejection must make a complete retracement to 236 zone.
Hence, I set my target for tp to the upside at the 236 fib zone marked in ORANGE.
My bias? For now SELL, until H4 bearish structure is invalidated.
Secondly if you can see the markings on my chart and if you understand fibonacci, you'll see that price rejected and 618 zone, from the overall low to high swing of H4 Move. We further see a bull retracement and rejection to the downside at the 382 level. Price is currently trading under these levels so the sell bias is strong. But be wary as price is currently sitting on the 786 fib zone. This zone if not invalidated could push price to make a short term bull correction to the prices levels I have marked in RED, before continuing the downtrend.
Now it's all about patience and being on the right time frame to find an entry to the downside. But remember, we must be wary of a short term bull correction which I have marked the price levels in RED.
How to know the right time frame? When the HTF retraces to ur level and closes, according to the candle close you should go to LTF and wait until price structure gives you the direction of your bias, (In this case a downtrend). If price closes bearish and lower time frame gives you a bull structure, mark the level not to break on the HTF while you wait for LTF to reach this level and invalidate the buy structure, now you have another confirmation of downtrend, and since HTF already closed Bearish, with lower time frame structure correlating and confirming this bearish move, you can be confident with your entries.
I have marked the price level in GREEN for my TP if we continue this downtrend.
Further more, if price levels in red are invalidated and price starts to form a bullish structure on h4, my target for tp in a bullish move are marked in ORANGE; as if a bull momentum starts from the 786 fib zone, according to the fibonacci rule, 786 rejection must make a complete retracement to 236 zone.
Hence, I set my target for tp to the upside at the 236 fib zone marked in ORANGE.
My bias? For now SELL, until H4 bearish structure is invalidated.
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