The AUDUSD pair is currently trading in a bearish trend, and it is currently trading near the top of its range. The current spot rate is 0.6338, and a sell entry point of 0.6338 is just below the recent high of 0.6358.
The pair is also trading below its 200-day moving average, which is a bearish signal. The pair is also forming a descending triangle pattern, which is a continuation pattern that typically leads to a breakout to the downside.
Fundamental analysis:
The Australian dollar is generally seen as a commodity currency, and it has been weakening against the US dollar as concerns about the global economy have grown.
Second, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is expected to raise interest rates more slowly than the Federal Reserve, which could put downward pressure on the AUD against the USD.
Finally, the Australian economy is expected to grow more slowly than the US economy in the near term. This is due to a number of factors, including the ongoing trade tensions with China.
Risks:
There are a few risks to consider before entering a trade on AUDUSD. First, the global economy is facing some headwinds, such as the war in Ukraine. These headwinds could weigh on risk appetite and lead to a rise in the AUDUSD pair.
Second, the Federal Reserve is expected to raise interest rates more quickly than the RBA, which could put upward pressure on the USD against the AUD.
Finally, the Chinese economy is expected to weaken in the near term due to the ongoing trade tensions with the US. This could put upward pressure on the AUD against the USD.
Overall:
I think AUDUSD is a good pair to trade for those who are looking for a short-term bearish trend. However, it is important to remember that the forex market is volatile, and there is always the risk of a reversal. You should always do your own research before entering any trades.
Here are some additional factors that you may want to consider before entering a trade on AUDUSD:
The economic outlook for Australia and the US. The level of volatility in the forex market. The price of commodities, such as iron ore and coal.
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