AUDUSD Analysis - Bearish - Trade 02
1. Seasonality:
2. COT Report:
3. Fundamental Analysis:
4. Technical Analysis:
Summary
Bias
Trade Plan
During the first week of December, the USD exhibits bearish momentum, while the AUD shows bullish tendencies. This combination makes AUDUSD overall bullish.
2. COT Report:
The AUD's COT RSI and Index are near the top, while the USD is near the bottom, indicating potential overextension. This suggests a bearish outlook for AUDUSD.
3. Fundamental Analysis:
LEIThe USD Leading Economic Indicator (LEI) is increasing, while the AUD LEI is decreasing. Global LEI is also rising, favoring USD strength and adding a bearish tone to AUDUSD.
Endogenous FactorsThese suggest bearish pressure for the AUD and bullish sentiment for the USD, further supporting a bearish bias.
Exogenous FactorsExogenous influences, however, indicate an increase in AUDUSD, favoring a bullish trend.
4. Technical Analysis:
AUDUSD is forming an ABCD pattern and is currently at the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level on the 1-hour chart. Additionally, there is significant resistance on the 4-hour chart, indicating potential bearish pressure from a technical standpoint.
Summary
The analysis presents mixed signals: seasonality and exogenous factors favor bullishness, while the COT report, LEI trends, endogenous factors, and technical resistance suggest bearish potential.
Bias
The combined analysis leans toward a short entry for AUDUSD.
Trade Plan
Entry: 0.64746
SL: 0.65130
TP: 0.64362
Trade closed: target reached
TP Hit
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.