AUDUSD 4h Descending Channel

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AUD/USD Analysis - April 1, 2025 (1H Timeframe)
Trend Overview
The pair is currently in a descending channel, forming lower highs and lower lows—indicating a downtrend.

Price has reached a strong demand zone (purple box) around 0.6240 - 0.6260, which has previously acted as support.

Key Levels to Watch
Support Zone (0.6240 - 0.6260)

If price holds and forms bullish price action (e.g., higher low, engulfing candle), we could see a reversal to the upside toward 0.6280 - 0.6300.

Bullish Confirmation: Break above 0.6260 and a close above the descending trendline.

Resistance Levels:

0.6260 (Immediate resistance & trendline rejection zone)

0.6280 - 0.6300 (Major resistance if the breakout happens)

Bearish Breakdown Scenario

If price fails to break 0.6260 and gets rejected at the trendline, it could lead to a drop toward 0.6220 - 0.6200.

Bearish Confirmation: A strong rejection from 0.6260 or a break below 0.6240.

Trade Scenarios
✅ Bullish Case (Reversal / Breakout)

Entry: Above 0.6260 with confirmation (trendline breakout)

Target 1: 0.6280

Target 2: 0.6300

Stop Loss: Below 0.6235

🔻 Bearish Case (Continuation of Downtrend)

Entry: On rejection at 0.6260 or breakdown below 0.6240

Target 1: 0.6220

Target 2: 0.6200

Stop Loss: Above 0.6270

Conclusion
Watch for price action at 0.6260. A breakout = bullish move, rejection = bearish continuation.

Bias: Neutral for now, waiting for confirmation.

Disclaimer

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