Australian Dollar / U.S. Dollar
Short
Updated

AUDUSD

1593
Fresh supply zone ahead, a short opportunity.

Stuff to remember:

— First look for significant move, then follow it to its origins where you might find a suitable level to evaluate further

— Make sure the initial move is significant on the same timeframe as the one you use for viewing your candidate level most clearly

— Check the distance that price traveled before the trend ended, longer distances mean larger initial imbalances and improved probabilities in the future

— The strong initial move can contain a few small retracements but not so many that make this move slow and weak

— Avoid opposing levels on the same and immediately higher timeframes, prefer to have a clear road ahead for your trade to run

— Make sure your level is placed correctly (low for Demand, high for Supply) in relation to the big picture's important tops and bottoms

— Trading the first return of price to a valid "fresh" level carries the highest probabilities due to the larger imbalance

— A valid level is considered "fresh" if price has not returned to it since its creation. It has nothing to do with how old the level is

— Trading only the first return of price to a valid, properly evaluated level can greatly increase your win ratio. Trading second or other subsequent returns will only dilute your trading edge.
Note
When i find a good supply/demand zone on H4, i always switch to daily timeframe, just to see if its also in a area a supply/demand. This is the same setup, and as you can see it confirms that it is a fresh supply zone, even more clear than H4.

snapshot
Note
Looks like a very accurate trade. Who shorted at the blue area ?
Trade active
Trade closed: target reached
Note
That's why we love supply & demand trades.

snapshot

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