The Australian Dollar (AUD) recovered some ground on Monday after a decline in the previous session. This movement comes as the US Dollar (USD) strengthened due to better-than-expected US employment data released on Friday. The strong jobs report has led traders to push back their expectations for Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cuts, exerting pressure on the AUD/USD pair.
Market Analysis
1. USD Strength: The USD's resurgence is attributed to robust US employment figures, which have diminished the immediate likelihood of Fed rate cuts.
2. Impact on AUD/USD: This has resulted in downward pressure on the AUD/USD pair, as the market adjusts to the new expectations regarding US monetary policy.
Technical Insights
1. Oversold Conditions: From a technical perspective, the AUD/USD pair is currently in oversold territory, suggesting a potential rebound.
2. Support Area: The price is approaching a key support area, further indicating a possible reversal.
Trading Strategy
Given the current technical conditions and market dynamics, we are looking to set up a long position. The correlation with other USD pairs supports this strategy, as they also show signs of potential recovery against the USD.