Alright, let's break down the AUD/USD chart using a top-down approach, starting from the higher timeframes and moving down to the lower timeframes to find potential setups for this week.
Looking at the weekly chart, AUD/USD has been in a consistent downtrend, with prices continuing to test lower levels of support. We’re currently sitting near a critical support level at 0.66704. This weekly level is significant because it's been tested multiple times, and any break below this could signal a continuation towards 0.65762, the next weekly support level. However, if the price respects this level, we might see a retracement back up to 0.67538 or 0.67947, which are key weekly resistance zones.
On the daily chart, AUD/USD is showing a strong bearish momentum with the price moving below the 21 EMA, which continues to act as dynamic resistance. We see a descending trendline that’s holding the price down, reinforcing the bearish bias. However, we are also at the 0.66704 daily support level, which coincides with the weekly support. If price fails to break below this level convincingly, we could see a short-term pullback. The first target for a potential pullback would be 0.67538, aligning with the EMA 21.
On the 4-hour chart, the bearish pressure is evident, but the candles have been consolidating above 0.66704 support. If we break below this level, we’ll likely see a move towards 0.65762. However, a bounce from this level would indicate a short-term buying opportunity. If that happens, I’m looking for a potential entry near 0.66704 with targets at 0.67538 and 0.67947.
In summary, if we break below 0.66704, it’s a clear signal to short towards 0.65762. On the flip side, a bounce from here provides a short-term buying opportunity targeting 0.67538.
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