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The U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) price index for August has been released. It came in at 2.2% year-over-year, falling below both the market's expectation of 2.3% and last month's figure of 2.5%. The core PCE price index also fell short of expectations, increasing by just 0.1% month-over-month compared to the expected 0.2%, indicating a slowdown in inflation. The release of the PCE price index put downward pressure on the dollar.
Meanwhile, in Japan, former LDP Secretary General Shigeru Ishiba, who is considered a supporter of the Bank of Japan's interest rate normalization path, has been elected as the next Prime Minister. If Shigeru Ishiba takes office, it is expected that the Bank of Japan will face pressure to raise interest rates, which has led to a strengthening of the yen.
On the 24th, the Reserve Bank of Australia held its key interest rate steady, but stated that it would not rule out further rate hikes, as inflation has not yet shown signs of slowing. Reuters reported that the possibility of a rate cut by the RBA within the year has been lowered from 64% to 59%.
- October 1: Fed Chair Powell’s speech, Eurozone September Consumer Price Index
- October 4: U.S. September Non-Farm Payrolls, Unemployment Rate
AUD/USD has successfully broken through the resistance line of 0.69000, suggesting further gains up to the 0.71500 level. Given the weakening outlook for an RBA rate cut, AUD/USD is expected to gain further momentum. However, it is still uncertain whether it will break through the resistance at 0.71500, and we will reassess the direction once it reaches the high point.
If, contrary to expectations, a downtrend emerges, we will adjust the strategy accordingly.
Please feel free to share your personal opinions in the comments. Don't forget to hit the booster and subscribe!
The U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) price index for August has been released. It came in at 2.2% year-over-year, falling below both the market's expectation of 2.3% and last month's figure of 2.5%. The core PCE price index also fell short of expectations, increasing by just 0.1% month-over-month compared to the expected 0.2%, indicating a slowdown in inflation. The release of the PCE price index put downward pressure on the dollar.
Meanwhile, in Japan, former LDP Secretary General Shigeru Ishiba, who is considered a supporter of the Bank of Japan's interest rate normalization path, has been elected as the next Prime Minister. If Shigeru Ishiba takes office, it is expected that the Bank of Japan will face pressure to raise interest rates, which has led to a strengthening of the yen.
On the 24th, the Reserve Bank of Australia held its key interest rate steady, but stated that it would not rule out further rate hikes, as inflation has not yet shown signs of slowing. Reuters reported that the possibility of a rate cut by the RBA within the year has been lowered from 64% to 59%.
- October 1: Fed Chair Powell’s speech, Eurozone September Consumer Price Index
- October 4: U.S. September Non-Farm Payrolls, Unemployment Rate
AUD/USD has successfully broken through the resistance line of 0.69000, suggesting further gains up to the 0.71500 level. Given the weakening outlook for an RBA rate cut, AUD/USD is expected to gain further momentum. However, it is still uncertain whether it will break through the resistance at 0.71500, and we will reassess the direction once it reaches the high point.
If, contrary to expectations, a downtrend emerges, we will adjust the strategy accordingly.
네이버 카페 :
cafe.naver.com/autumnis
오픈 카톡방 :
pf.kakao.com/_txlKqxj/chat
텔레그램 :
t.me/shawntimemanager
cafe.naver.com/autumnis
오픈 카톡방 :
pf.kakao.com/_txlKqxj/chat
텔레그램 :
t.me/shawntimemanager
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
네이버 카페 :
cafe.naver.com/autumnis
오픈 카톡방 :
pf.kakao.com/_txlKqxj/chat
텔레그램 :
t.me/shawntimemanager
cafe.naver.com/autumnis
오픈 카톡방 :
pf.kakao.com/_txlKqxj/chat
텔레그램 :
t.me/shawntimemanager
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.